Mon, Feb 6, 2023·Prudential Center, Newark
Vancouver Canucks 4, New Jersey Devils 5 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 112 | 210 | 18 | 00 | 430 |
| NJD | 113 | 38 | 09 | 14 | 534 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:35VANAndrei KuzmenkoAssists: Luke Schenn, Elias Pettersson · Snap, 0.21 xG1–0
- P1 17:48NJDJack HughesAssists: Fabian Zetterlund, Dougie Hamilton · Backhand, 0.07 xG1–1
- P2 9:27NJDOndrej PalatAssists: Dougie Hamilton, Jonas Siegenthaler · Tip-in, 0.07 xG1–2
- P2 9:55NJDOndrej PalatUnassisted · Snap, 0.09 xG1–3
- P2 10:17NJDJack HughesAssists: Fabian Zetterlund, Damon Severson · Wrist, 0.15 xG1–4
- P2 15:29VANLuke SchennAssists: Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Conor Garland · Slap, 0.04 xG2–4
- P2 19:33VANCurtis LazarAssists: Riley Stillman, Conor Garland · Snap, 0.19 xG3–4
- P3 6:02VANPhillip Di GiuseppeAssists: J.T. Miller, Oliver Ekman-Larsson · Wrist, 0.06 xG4–4
- OT 4:18NJDJesper BrattPPGWGAssists: Jack Hughes, Dougie Hamilton · Slap, 0.10 xG4–5
Penalties (5)
- P2 11:08VANNils Aman: Interference2 min
- P2 16:40NJDDougie Hamilton: High sticking2 min
- P3 8:01VANCurtis Lazar: Tripping2 min
- P3 9:25VANRiley Stillman: Cross checking2 min
- OT 3:41VANAndrei Kuzmenko: Hooking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Miller won the faceoff against Hischier
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestBeauvillier – Pettersson – Kuzmenko13:08
xG 0.80–0.52 (61%)attempts 18–11goals 1–3
- Lazar – Joshua – Boeser2:26
xG 0.10–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Di Giuseppe – Lazar – Aman4:44
xG 0.11–0.05 (68%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Boeser – Dries – Podkolzin7:38
xG 0.31–0.30 (50%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMyers – Stillman13:42
xG 0.81–0.17 (83%)attempts 14–9goals 1–0
- Schenn – Ekman-Larsson13:25
xG 0.54–0.39 (58%)attempts 13–9goals 2–0
- Ekman-Larsson – Bear2:29
xG 0.03–0.15 (16%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestPalat – Bratt – Hischier10:17
xG 0.85–0.33 (72%)attempts 15–8goals 2–0
- Zetterlund – Sharangovich – Hughes10:28
xG 0.47–0.45 (51%)attempts 11–8goals 2–0
- Tatar – Haula – Mercer10:39
xG 0.05–0.37 (13%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
- Wood – Bastian – McLeod9:36
xG 0.13–0.49 (20%)attempts 6–12goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestHamilton – Siegenthaler13:15
xG 0.78–0.43 (64%)attempts 16–15goals 2–1
- Severson – Graves14:20
xG 0.74–0.46 (62%)attempts 13–17goals 2–0
- Graves – Marino6:19
xG 0.01–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).