Wed, Feb 8, 2023·Madison Square Garden, New York
Vancouver Canucks 3, New York Rangers 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 15 | 18 | 112 | 325 |
| NYR | 27 | 17 | 17 | 421 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:53NYRChris KreiderAssists: Vincent Trocheck, K'Andre Miller · Tip-in, 0.11 xG0–1
- P1 8:31NYRFilip ChytilAssists: Kaapo Kakko, K'Andre Miller · Backhand, 0.10 xG0–2
- P1 17:36VANConor GarlandAssists: Quinn Hughes · Snap, 0.08 xG1–2
- P2 6:23NYRAlexis LafrenièreAssists: Jacob Trouba, K'Andre Miller · Tip-in, 0.12 xG1–3
- P2 16:06VANVasily PodkolzinAssists: J.T. Miller · Deflected, 0.07 xG2–3
- P3 16:05NYRMika ZibanejadGWGAssists: Jacob Trouba, Artemi Panarin · Tip-in, 0.06 xG2–4
- P3 16:16VANElias PetterssonAssists: Quinn Hughes, Brock Boeser · Wrist, 0.15 xG3–4
Penalties (4)
- P1 4:22VANDakota Joshua: High sticking2 min
- P1 10:18NYRVincent Trocheck: Hooking2 min
- P2 16:45VANLuke Schenn: Interference2 min
- P3 19:21VANBrock Boeser: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Trocheck won the faceoff against Miller
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestBoeser – Beauvillier – Pettersson10:15
xG 0.74–0.50 (60%)attempts 14–9goals 1–1
- Joshua – Boeser – Dries3:10
xG 0.07–0.01 (89%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Beauvillier – Pettersson – Kuzmenko5:03
xG 0.02–0.07 (24%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Joshua – Dries – Kuzmenko4:08
xG 0.06–0.17 (26%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSchenn – Ekman-Larsson11:05
xG 0.64–0.54 (54%)attempts 12–12goals 0–1
- Ekman-Larsson – Bear2:47
xG 0.10–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Myers – Ekman-Larsson2:37
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 1–0goals 0–0
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestZibanejad – Vesey – Panarin13:03
xG 0.82–0.37 (69%)attempts 12–10goals 1–1
- Chytil – Kakko – Lafrenière11:39
xG 0.44–0.46 (49%)attempts 14–11goals 2–1
- Kreider – Trocheck – Goodrow12:17
xG 0.54–0.62 (46%)attempts 8–11goals 1–0
- Blais – Leschyshyn – Cuylle6:10
xG 0.00–0.10 (0%)attempts 1–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestTrouba – Miller16:38
xG 0.88–0.39 (70%)attempts 20–11goals 4–1
- Fox – Lindgren17:11
xG 0.96–0.70 (58%)attempts 16–12goals 0–1
- Lindgren – Schneider2:35
xG 0.00–0.10 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).