Fri, Feb 10, 2023·Madison Square Garden, New York
Seattle Kraken 3, New York Rangers 6
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 65% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 010 | 19 | 210 | 329 |
| NYR | 312 | 18 | 28 | 628 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:49NYRVladimir TarasenkoAssists: Artemi Panarin · Tip-in, 0.14 xG0–1
- P1 5:01NYRKaapo KakkoAssists: Filip Chytil, Alexis Lafrenière · Tip-in, 0.08 xG0–2
- P1 14:29NYRVincent TrocheckAssists: Chris Kreider, Ryan Lindgren · Backhand, 0.21 xG0–3
- P2 1:03NYRJacob TroubaPPGWGAssists: Vincent Trocheck, Kaapo Kakko · Deflected, 0.04 xG0–4
- P2 2:07SEAOliver BjorkstrandAssists: Eeli Tolvanen · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–4
- P3 3:19NYRMika ZibanejadPPAssists: Chris Kreider, Adam Fox · Snap, 0.18 xG1–5
- P3 5:59SEAJared McCannPPAssists: Vince Dunn, Oliver Bjorkstrand · Slap, 0.03 xG2–5
- P3 6:21SEABrandon TanevAssists: Ryan Donato, Vince Dunn · Backhand, 0.13 xG3–5
- P3 17:51NYRRyan LindgrenENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.40 xG3–6
Penalties (8)
- P1 19:14SEAJaden Schwartz: Illegal check to head2 min · PPG
- P2 9:49NYRArtemi Panarin: Interference2 min
- P2 14:50NYRNiko Mikkola: High sticking2 min
- P3 2:09SEAJordan Eberle: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 4:28NYRNiko Mikkola: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 8:20NYRNiko Mikkola: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 15:23SEAJared McCann: Hooking2 min
- P3 16:12NYRAdam Fox: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zibanejad won the faceoff against Wennberg
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestSprong – Tanev – Geekie5:40
xG 0.35–0.03 (93%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
- Gourde – Donato – Tanev2:39
xG 0.22–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 1–0
- Schwartz – Wennberg – Donato6:05
xG 0.32–0.30 (52%)attempts 6–7goals 0–1
- Schwartz – Bjorkstrand – Wennberg4:00
xG 0.07–0.06 (56%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestOleksiak – Borgen12:04
xG 0.98–0.58 (63%)attempts 20–8goals 1–1
- Schultz – Soucy12:26
xG 0.19–0.27 (41%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
- Larsson – Dunn15:35
xG 0.49–0.59 (45%)attempts 16–13goals 1–2
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestKreider – Trocheck – Kravtsov8:23
xG 0.55–0.35 (61%)attempts 8–6goals 1–0
- Tarasenko – Zibanejad – Panarin10:58
xG 0.38–0.18 (68%)attempts 6–7goals 1–0
- Chytil – Kakko – Lafrenière11:45
xG 0.44–0.54 (45%)attempts 10–12goals 1–2
- Goodrow – Vesey – Gauthier7:13
xG 0.04–0.53 (7%)attempts 4–14goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestFox – Lindgren13:46
xG 0.75–0.29 (72%)attempts 12–11goals 1–0
- Fox – Miller2:25
xG 0.24–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Trouba – Miller13:35
xG 0.30–0.47 (39%)attempts 9–13goals 2–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 65% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).