Sat, Feb 11, 2023·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Pittsburgh Penguins 0, Los Angeles Kings 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 65% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 010 | 06 | 09 | 025 |
| LAK | 212 | 311 | 18 | 631 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:28LAKJaret Anderson-DolanGWGAssists: Alexander Edler, Rasmus Kupari · Tip-in, 0.05 xG0–1
- P1 17:47LAKAlex IafalloAssists: Rasmus Kupari, Kevin Fiala · Snap, 0.25 xG0–2
- P2 1:58LAKAdrian KempeAssists: Anze Kopitar, Quinton Byfield · Snap, 0.08 xG0–3
- P2 5:18LAKAdrian KempeAssists: Anze Kopitar, Mikey Anderson · Snap, 0.10 xG0–4
- P2 14:27LAKAdrian KempePPAssists: Anze Kopitar, Drew Doughty · Wrist, 0.19 xG0–5
- P3 15:09LAKAdrian KempePPAssists: Kevin Fiala, Drew Doughty · Slap, 0.10 xG0–6
Penalties (13)
- P1 3:46LAKAdrian Kempe: Elbowing2 min
- P2 2:47LAKKevin Fiala: Interference2 min
- P2 11:17LAKSean Walker: High sticking2 min
- P2 14:01PITRyan Poehling: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 17:59PITPierre-Olivier Joseph: Cross checking2 min
- P3 6:52PITEvgeni Malkin: Slashing2 min
- P3 9:46PITSidney Crosby: Misconduct10 min
- P3 9:46LAKMikey Anderson: Cross checking2 min
- P3 9:46PITSidney Crosby: Game misconduct10 min
- P3 9:46LAKMikey Anderson: Misconduct10 min
- P3 13:09PITPierre-Olivier Joseph: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 14:12PITMarcus Pettersson: Cross checking2 min
- P3 16:46LAKAlexander Edler: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Crosby won the faceoff against Danault
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Pittsburgh Penguins
Forward lines
- bestCrosby – Rakell – Guentzel9:23
xG 0.55–0.42 (56%)attempts 16–8goals 0–0
- Archibald – Blueger – Poehling6:53
xG 0.25–0.33 (43%)attempts 8–6goals 0–1
- Carter – McGinn – Kapanen7:11
xG 0.07–0.62 (10%)attempts 5–9goals 0–0
- Malkin – Zucker – Rust10:21
xG 0.25–1.10 (18%)attempts 6–13goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Letang – Dumoulin15:30
xG 0.81–1.03 (44%)attempts 21–13goals 0–1
- Friedman – Joseph10:44
xG 0.36–0.84 (30%)attempts 11–12goals 0–2
- Petry – Pettersson11:49
xG 0.28–0.92 (23%)attempts 10–13goals 0–1
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestFiala – Iafallo – Lizotte7:47
xG 0.57–0.08 (87%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Byfield9:14
xG 0.97–0.57 (63%)attempts 13–10goals 2–0
- Anderson-Dolan – Kupari – Kaliyev8:01
xG 0.46–0.20 (69%)attempts 7–9goals 1–0
- Danault – Arvidsson – Moore9:16
xG 0.25–0.11 (69%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestRoy – Durzi11:08
xG 1.09–0.05 (95%)attempts 12–5goals 2–0
- Edler – Walker10:43
xG 0.91–0.45 (67%)attempts 15–14goals 1–0
- Doughty – Anderson14:50
xG 0.87–0.81 (52%)attempts 12–19goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it PIT. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 65% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − PIT), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).