Sat, Feb 18, 2023·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Philadelphia Flyers 2, Vancouver Canucks 6
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 110 | 112 | 015 | 237 |
| VAN | 111 | 24 | 38 | 623 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 14:24VANAnthony BeauvillierAssists: Luke Schenn, Elias Pettersson · Deflected, 0.10 xG0–1
- P1 15:56PHIScott LaughtonAssists: Justin Braun, Patrick Brown · Deflected, 0.11 xG1–1
- P2 1:53VANAndrei KuzmenkoAssists: Luke Schenn, Elias Pettersson · Wrist, 0.14 xG1–2
- P2 13:35VANAnthony BeauvillierPPGWGAssists: Elias Pettersson, Quinn Hughes · Deflected, 0.09 xG1–3
- P2 17:28PHIMorgan FrostPPAssists: Travis Konecny, Rasmus Ristolainen · Wrist, 0.19 xG2–3
- P3 10:04VANPhillip Di GiuseppeAssists: Brock Boeser · Wrist, 0.19 xG2–4
- P3 18:03VANElias PetterssonENAssists: J.T. Miller, Luke Schenn · Backhand, 0.39 xG2–5
- P3 19:19VANElias PetterssonENAssists: J.T. Miller, Ethan Bear · Wrist, 0.59 xG2–6
Penalties (4)
- P2 13:31PHITravis Konecny: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 17:16VANLuke Schenn: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P2 17:56PHIIvan Provorov: Tripping2 min
- P3 17:38VANPhillip Di Giuseppe: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Cates won the faceoff against Miller
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestHayes – Laughton – Tippett7:31
xG 0.83–0.16 (84%)attempts 21–2goals 0–1
- van Riemsdyk – Konecny – Frost6:20
xG 0.35–0.19 (65%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- van Riemsdyk – Allison – Frost2:01
xG 0.14–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Deslauriers – Laughton – Konecny3:02
xG 0.24–0.14 (64%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSeeler – DeAngelo11:21
xG 0.48–0.03 (94%)attempts 17–1goals 0–0
- DeAngelo – Provorov3:44
xG 0.26–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- Sanheim – Provorov12:22
xG 0.54–0.44 (55%)attempts 13–5goals 0–2
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestBeauvillier – Pettersson – Kuzmenko14:49
xG 0.78–0.58 (57%)attempts 10–15goals 1–0
- Miller – Di Giuseppe – Boeser10:50
xG 0.67–0.52 (56%)attempts 12–14goals 1–1
- Joshua – Garland – Aman2:08
xG 0.00–0.06 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
- Garland – Studnicka – Podkolzin7:48
xG 0.23–0.40 (36%)attempts 4–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSchenn – Wolanin14:52
xG 1.12–0.49 (70%)attempts 11–17goals 3–0
- Myers – Stillman16:12
xG 0.40–0.38 (51%)attempts 10–15goals 0–0
- Bear – Hughes17:19
xG 0.18–1.10 (14%)attempts 7–24goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).