Sat, Feb 25, 2023·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Chicago Blackhawks 4, San Jose Sharks 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 58% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 29 | 013 | 17 | 06 | 1 | 435 |
| SJS | 215 | 012 | 116 | 05 | 0 | 348 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:14CHIDavid GustAssists: Colin Blackwell, Jason Dickinson · Wrist, 0.18 xG1–0
- P1 4:17SJSNick BoninoAssists: Jacob MacDonald, Nico Sturm · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–1
- P1 5:12CHIBrett SeneyAssists: Seth Jones · Snap, 0.07 xG2–1
- P1 10:52SJSEvgeny SvechnikovAssists: Nico Sturm, Marc-Edouard Vlasic · Wrist, 0.17 xG2–2
- P3 0:16CHIMax DomiAssists: Jake McCabe, Petr Mrazek · Snap, 0.10 xG3–2
- P3 17:49SJSErik KarlssonAssists: Marc-Edouard Vlasic, Logan Couture · Slap, 0.03 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. SJS Kevin Labanc stopped
- 2. CHI Philipp Kurashev scored
- 3. SJS Logan Couture stopped
- 4. CHI Max Domi stopped
- 5. SJS Nick Bonino stopped
Penalties (7)
- P2 3:47SJSLogan Couture: Holding2 min
- P2 6:54SJSMichael Eyssimont: Hooking2 min
- P2 10:05SJSNoah Gregor: Fighting5 min
- P2 10:05CHIConnor Murphy: Fighting5 min
- P2 10:05SJSNoah Gregor: Roughing2 min
- P3 3:36CHIJack Johnson: Slashing2 min
- OT 0:08SJSLogan Couture: Holding the stick2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Domi won the faceoff against Couture
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestBlackwell – Dickinson – Seney2:01
xG 0.46–0.13 (78%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Johnson – Raddysh – Guttman10:00
xG 0.53–0.20 (72%)attempts 12–10goals 0–0
- Johnson – Seney – Katchouk2:09
xG 0.08–0.03 (74%)attempts 2–3goals 1–0
- Blackwell – Dickinson – Gust9:35
xG 0.53–0.78 (40%)attempts 7–15goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestMcCabe – Jones13:33
xG 0.87–0.37 (70%)attempts 13–8goals 1–0
- Jones – Mitchell7:29
xG 0.72–0.53 (58%)attempts 6–13goals 1–0
- Jones – Phillips3:03
xG 0.15–0.23 (39%)attempts 2–6goals 0–1
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestBonino – Svechnikov – Sturm6:50
xG 0.69–0.22 (76%)attempts 12–3goals 2–1
- Hertl – Gregor – Kaut9:29
xG 0.20–0.13 (60%)attempts 10–8goals 0–0
- Lindblom – Labanc – Lorentz5:41
xG 0.41–0.44 (49%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
- Couture – Eyssimont – Barabanov11:34
xG 0.29–0.52 (36%)attempts 12–10goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestMacDonald – Ferraro12:17
xG 0.99–0.41 (71%)attempts 17–9goals 1–1
- Vlasic – Benning11:32
xG 0.62–0.22 (74%)attempts 13–7goals 1–0
- Karlsson – Harrington14:28
xG 1.03–0.81 (56%)attempts 24–14goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 58% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).