Sun, Feb 26, 2023·Madison Square Garden, New York
Los Angeles Kings 2, New York Rangers 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 08 | 110 | 110 | 228 |
| NYR | 13 | 211 | 27 | 521 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 14:00NYRAlexis LafrenièreAssists: Kaapo Kakko, Filip Chytil · Wrist, 0.05 xG0–1
- P2 2:02NYRVincent TrocheckAssists: Mika Zibanejad, Chris Kreider · Deflected, 0.06 xG0–2
- P2 3:37NYRVincent TrocheckGWGAssists: Adam Fox · Snap, 0.08 xG0–3
- P2 18:12LAKViktor ArvidssonPPAssists: Arthur Kaliyev, Phillip Danault · Tip-in, 0.18 xG1–3
- P3 1:27LAKMatt RoyAssists: Phillip Danault · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–3
- P3 2:11NYRArtemi PanarinAssists: Vincent Trocheck · Wrist, 0.13 xG2–4
- P3 5:26NYRMika ZibanejadPPAssists: Adam Fox, Artemi Panarin · Slap, 0.19 xG2–5
Penalties (8)
- P1 4:43LAKSean Durzi: Tripping2 min
- P1 16:37NYRK'Andre Miller: Match penalty5 min
- P2 16:52NYRNiko Mikkola: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 3:51LAKAlexander Edler: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 8:27NYRMika Zibanejad: Tripping2 min
- P3 8:55LAKArthur Kaliyev: Hooking2 min
- P3 16:51NYRJimmy Vesey: Tripping2 min
- P3 17:21LAKKevin Fiala: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Chytil
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestKopitar – Kempe – Byfield11:51
xG 0.79–0.30 (72%)attempts 13–6goals 0–1
- Anderson-Dolan – Kupari – Kaliyev6:01
xG 0.44–0.26 (63%)attempts 9–8goals 0–2
- Vilardi – Iafallo – Lizotte8:00
xG 0.33–0.29 (54%)attempts 12–5goals 0–0
- Danault – Fiala – Arvidsson12:35
xG 0.35–0.47 (43%)attempts 10–9goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestRoy – Durzi12:51
xG 0.61–0.36 (62%)attempts 18–7goals 1–1
- Edler – Walker7:01
xG 0.19–0.44 (30%)attempts 4–9goals 0–3
- Doughty – Anderson17:41
xG 0.28–0.64 (30%)attempts 12–13goals 0–0
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestTrocheck – Goodrow – Panarin7:43
xG 0.76–0.39 (66%)attempts 17–9goals 1–1
- Chytil – Kakko – Lafrenière10:13
xG 0.39–0.12 (77%)attempts 5–6goals 1–0
- Trocheck – Vesey – Panarin2:14
xG 0.00–0.00 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
- Goodrow – Vesey – Motte2:57
xG 0.00–0.05 (5%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMikkola – Fox13:51
xG 0.58–0.18 (76%)attempts 8–9goals 2–0
- Harpur – Mikkola3:10
xG 0.00–0.01 (0%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Trouba – Mikkola2:43
xG 0.13–0.18 (42%)attempts 5–3goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).