Fri, Mar 3, 2023·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Seattle Kraken 4, Columbus Blue Jackets 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 76% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 012 | 211 | 212 | 435 |
| CBJ | 010 | 15 | 18 | 223 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 10:18CBJPatrik LainePPAssists: Adam Boqvist, Johnny Gaudreau · Snap, 0.05 xG0–1
- P2 13:20SEAJared McCannPPAssists: Oliver Bjorkstrand, Vince Dunn · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–1
- P2 14:08SEAJordan EberleAssists: Jared McCann, Alexander Wennberg · Backhand, 0.12 xG2–1
- P3 4:53CBJAdam BoqvistAssists: Patrik Laine, Erik Gudbranson · Wrist, 0.11 xG2–2
- P3 7:12SEAAlexander WennbergPPGWGAssists: Eeli Tolvanen, Vince Dunn · Wrist, 0.23 xG3–2
- P3 19:12SEABrandon TanevENAssists: Jaden Schwartz · Wrist, 0.78 xG4–2
Penalties (8)
- P1 12:30SEAAlexander Wennberg: Slashing2 min
- P1 17:31CBJMathieu Olivier: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 19:56SEAMorgan Geekie: Interference2 min
- P2 2:23CBJTim Berni: Holding2 min
- P2 7:41SEAJustin Schultz: Hooking2 min
- P2 9:52SEAJordan Eberle: Too many men on the ice2 min · PPG
- P2 12:45CBJTim Berni: Interference2 min · PPG
- P3 7:03CBJBoone Jenner: Tripping2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Wennberg won the faceoff against Roslovic
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestSchwartz – Wennberg – Tanev2:05
xG 0.23–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Gourde – Donato – Tolvanen10:49
xG 0.71–0.62 (53%)attempts 15–9goals 0–0
- Tanev – Geekie – Froden3:59
xG 0.22–0.14 (61%)attempts 4–3goals 0–1
- Schwartz – Bjorkstrand – Wennberg8:30
xG 0.31–0.41 (43%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLarsson – Dunn14:46
xG 1.08–0.67 (62%)attempts 21–12goals 0–0
- Oleksiak – Borgen14:00
xG 0.79–0.48 (62%)attempts 15–12goals 1–0
- Larsson – Soucy2:07
xG 0.16–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestRoslovic – Laine – Johnson11:39
xG 0.66–0.50 (57%)attempts 8–14goals 1–0
- Gaudreau – Jenner – Robinson2:23
xG 0.34–0.20 (63%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Bemstrom – Marchenko – Sillinger3:47
xG 0.20–0.13 (61%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- Bemstrom – Robinson – Sillinger6:06
xG 0.35–0.30 (54%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGudbranson – Peeke2:48
xG 0.19–0.00 (100%)attempts 9–0goals 0–0
- Bayreuther – Berni2:06
xG 0.16–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Bayreuther – Boqvist7:20
xG 0.58–0.50 (54%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 76% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).