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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 11, 2023·UBS Arena, Elmont

Washington Capitals 5, New York Islanders 1

Away

Washington Capitals

5

Final

Home

New York Islanders

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 73% of the time.

NYI winsWSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:20Shot by Mayfield, saved by Kuemper
  3. P1 2:08Kuznetsov: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYI Parise, Palmieri, Nelson, Pelech, Horvat, Pulock · WSH Backstrom, Smith, Irwin, Mantha, Alexeyev

  4. P1 2:20Shot by Dobson, saved by Kuemper5v4
  5. P1 2:33Shot by Horvat, saved by Kuemper5v4
  6. P1 2:58Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Varlamov5v4
  7. P1 3:01Shot by Fehérváry, saved by Varlamov5v4
  8. P1 5:18Goal by Engvall, unassisted+18 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Bailey, Fasching, Pulock, Engvall, Romanov · WSH Ovechkin, Irwin, Kuznetsov, Aube-Kubel, Alexeyev

  9. P1 6:41Goal by Strome (Sandin, van Riemsdyk)+18 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Horvat, Aho, Dobson, Holmstrom · WSH Oshie, van Riemsdyk, Milano, Strome, Sandin

  10. P1 8:20Shot by Irwin, saved by Varlamov
  11. P1 9:26Shot by Milano, saved by Varlamov
  12. P1 11:40Shot by Sheary, saved by Varlamov
  13. P1 12:02Shot by Sandin, saved by Varlamov
  14. P1 14:14Shot by Irwin, saved by Varlamov
  15. P1 14:16Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Varlamov
  16. P1 16:23Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Kuemper
  17. P1 16:56Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Varlamov
  18. P1 17:33Shot by Irwin, saved by Varlamov
  19. P1 19:13Goal by Oshie (Sandin, van Riemsdyk)+19 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Horvat, Pulock, Dobson, Holmstrom · WSH Oshie, van Riemsdyk, Milano, Strome, Sandin

  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:29Shot by Pelech, saved by Kuemper
  23. P2 1:33Shot by Parise, saved by Kuemper
  24. P2 3:54Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Varlamov
  25. P2 5:00Fasching: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYI Martin, Cizikas, Fasching, Pulock, Romanov · WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Milano, Strome, Fehérváry, Sandin

  26. P2 5:04Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Varlamov4v5
  27. P2 5:35Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Varlamov4v5
  28. P2 7:00Shot by Mantha, saved by Varlamov4v5
  29. P2 7:48Shot by Sheary, saved by Varlamov
  30. P2 8:04Shot by Bailey, saved by Kuemper
  31. P2 11:09Smith: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Lee, Horvat, Engvall, Aho, Dobson · WSH Backstrom, Smith, Jensen, Mantha, Fehérváry

  32. P2 12:57Shot by Engvall, saved by Kuemper5v4
  33. P2 14:44Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Varlamov
  34. P2 14:54Shot by Mayfield, saved by Kuemper
  35. P2 15:32Shot by Dowd, saved by Varlamov
  36. P2 16:09Shot by Fehérváry, saved by Varlamov
  37. P2 17:00Shot by Martin, saved by Kuemper
  38. P2 17:17Backstrom: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Fasching, Horvat, Pulock, Engvall, Romanov · WSH Backstrom, Jensen, Wilson, Mantha, Sandin

  39. P2 17:45Shot by Nelson, saved by Kuemper5v4
  40. P2 17:54Lee: Holding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Lee, Nelson, Horvat, Dobson · WSH Dowd, Sheary, van Riemsdyk, Fehérváry

  41. P2 18:34Shot by Parise, saved by Kuemper4v4
  42. P2 0:00Period end
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 2:11Cizikas: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Martin, Cizikas, Mayfield, Pelech, Fasching · WSH Oshie, Irwin, Milano, Strome, Alexeyev

  45. P3 2:24Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Varlamov4v5
  46. P3 4:13Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Varlamov
  47. P3 4:15Goal by Mantha (Ovechkin, Strome)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Cizikas, Nelson, Mayfield, Pelech · WSH Ovechkin, Wilson, Mantha, van Riemsdyk, Strome

  48. P3 4:28Aube-Kubel: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Lee, Horvat, Engvall, Aho, Dobson · WSH Jensen, Dowd, Sheary, Aube-Kubel, Fehérváry

  49. P3 5:16Shot by Dobson, saved by Kuemper5v4
  50. P3 5:29Shot by Horvat, saved by Kuemper5v4
  51. P3 6:16Shot by Parise, saved by Kuemper5v4
  52. P3 7:33Shot by Alexeyev, saved by Varlamov
  53. P3 9:49Parise: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYI Parise, Palmieri, Nelson, Aho, Dobson · WSH Ovechkin, Backstrom, Kuznetsov, Wilson, Mantha, Sandin

  54. P3 12:18Goal by Dowd, unassisted+3 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Horvat, Pulock, Engvall, Aho · WSH Jensen, Dowd, Wilson, Sheary, Fehérváry

  55. P3 13:19Goal by Backstrom (Sandin, Mantha)+1 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Bailey, Palmieri, Nelson, Pulock, Dobson · WSH Backstrom, Smith, Mantha, van Riemsdyk, Sandin

  56. P3 13:38Shot by Pulock, saved by Kuemper
  57. P3 15:06Shot by Dobson, saved by Kuemper
  58. P3 15:36Shot by Horvat, saved by Kuemper
  59. P3 18:05Shot by Irwin, saved by Varlamov
  60. P3 19:08Wilson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Lee, Horvat, Engvall, Aho, Dobson · WSH Ovechkin, Jensen, Wilson, Strome, Fehérváry

  61. P3 0:00Period end5v4
  62. P3 0:00Final