Tue, Mar 14, 2023·United Center, Chicago
Boston Bruins 3, Chicago Blackhawks 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 07 | 216 | 119 | 342 |
| CHI | 110 | 110 | 49 | 629 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 14:29CHIMacKenzie EntwistleUnassisted · Backhand, 0.14 xG0–1
- P2 14:58BOSHampus LindholmAssists: Dmitry Orlov, Brad Marchand · Wrist, 0.01 xG1–1
- P2 16:32CHIJoey AndersonAssists: Boris Katchouk, Caleb Jones · Wrist, 0.16 xG1–2
- P2 19:48BOSTrent FredericAssists: Tyler Bertuzzi, Hampus Lindholm · Wrist, 0.21 xG2–2
- P3 3:02BOSPavel ZachaAssists: David Krejci, David Pastrnak · Wrist, 0.05 xG3–2
- P3 3:55CHITaylor RaddyshAssists: Jujhar Khaira, Boris Katchouk · Wrist, 0.17 xG3–3
- P3 6:59CHIBoris KatchoukGWGAssists: Joey Anderson, Ian Mitchell · Wrist, 0.13 xG3–4
- P3 16:08CHITaylor RaddyshPPAssists: Tyler Johnson, Ian Mitchell · Snap, 0.09 xG3–5
- P3 19:15CHITaylor RaddyshENAssists: Jujhar Khaira · Wrist, 0.69 xG3–6
Penalties (6)
- P1 3:52CHIJason Dickinson: Tripping2 min
- P1 8:05BOSGarnet Hathaway: Tripping2 min
- P3 9:42CHITaylor Raddysh: Slashing2 min
- P3 14:15BOSHampus Lindholm: Interference2 min · PPG
- P3 16:08BOSBrad Marchand: Hooking2 min
- P3 18:36CHIJarred Tinordi: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway0 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Khaira won the faceoff against Nosek
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestCoyle – Bertuzzi – Frederic11:35
xG 1.02–0.49 (68%)attempts 14–11goals 1–1
- Bergeron – Marchand – DeBrusk10:51
xG 1.10–0.89 (55%)attempts 19–12goals 1–1
- Krejci – Pastrnak – Zacha12:09
xG 0.40–0.23 (63%)attempts 10–4goals 1–1
- Hathaway – Nosek – Greer7:39
xG 0.39–0.80 (33%)attempts 5–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestGrzelcyk – McAvoy16:35
xG 1.50–0.61 (71%)attempts 27–11goals 0–1
- Lindholm – McAvoy2:28
xG 0.20–0.08 (71%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Orlov – Lindholm16:36
xG 0.37–0.45 (45%)attempts 14–10goals 2–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestAthanasiou – Kurashev – Reichel12:08
xG 0.60–0.29 (68%)attempts 7–10goals 0–1
- Khaira – Anderson – Katchouk8:35
xG 0.60–0.49 (55%)attempts 10–5goals 2–0
- Johnson – Dickinson – Raddysh12:33
xG 0.62–1.09 (36%)attempts 10–18goals 0–0
- Robinson – Entwistle – Hardman8:36
xG 0.10–0.59 (14%)attempts 3–12goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestJones – Jones15:29
xG 1.61–1.32 (55%)attempts 22–22goals 2–1
- Tinordi – Murphy14:53
xG 0.18–0.43 (29%)attempts 3–9goals 0–1
- Zaitsev – Mitchell11:04
xG 0.36–0.86 (29%)attempts 6–14goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).