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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 18, 2023·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Montréal Canadiens 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Away

Montréal Canadiens

3

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 81% of the time.

TBL winsMTL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:22Shot by Matheson, saved by Elliott
  3. P1 3:54Shot by Jeannot, saved by Montembeault
  4. P1 4:18Shot by Cernak, saved by Montembeault
  5. P1 5:12Goal by Hoffman (Suzuki, Savard)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Point, Raddysh, Sergachev, Colton · MTL Hoffman, Savard, Edmundson, Suzuki, Harvey-Pinard

  6. P1 5:19Shot by Paul, saved by Montembeault
  7. P1 5:31Shot by Colton, saved by Montembeault
  8. P1 6:23Shot by Hedman, saved by Montembeault
  9. P1 6:59Shot by Bogosian, saved by Montembeault
  10. P1 7:24Shot by Cernak, saved by Montembeault
  11. P1 8:12Shot by Tierney, saved by Elliott
  12. P1 11:31Goal by Hedman (Paul, Bogosian)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Bogosian, Hedman, Paul, Colton · MTL Belzile, Anderson, Gurianov, Kovacevic, Barron

  13. P1 13:38Shot by Savard, saved by Elliott
  14. P1 13:50Shot by Suzuki, saved by Elliott
  15. P1 16:20Shot by Cole, saved by Montembeault
  16. P1 18:10Shot by Colton, saved by Montembeault
  17. P1 18:23Shot by Hagel, saved by Montembeault
  18. P1 18:48Shot by Hoffman, saved by Elliott
  19. P1 19:16Shot by Kucherov, saved by Montembeault
  20. P1 19:36Shot by Cole, saved by Montembeault
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:23Shot by Matheson, saved by Elliott
  24. P2 1:28Shot by Hagel, saved by Montembeault
  25. P2 2:03Shot by Bogosian, saved by Montembeault
  26. P2 3:27Shot by Stamkos, saved by Montembeault
  27. P2 4:49Shot by Kucherov, saved by Montembeault
  28. P2 4:50Goal by Hagel (Kucherov, Sergachev)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Point, Raddysh, Sergachev, Hagel · MTL Savard, Belzile, Kovacevic, Ylonen, Harvey-Pinard

  29. P2 5:45Shot by Cirelli, saved by Montembeault
  30. P2 6:29Goal by Gurianov (Anderson, Suzuki)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Paul, Cernak, Colton · MTL Anderson, Gurianov, Suzuki, Kovacevic, Barron

  31. P2 7:49Shot by Belzile, saved by Elliott
  32. P2 8:07Shot by Richard, saved by Elliott
  33. P2 10:14Shot by Cole, saved by Montembeault
  34. P2 10:26Sergachev: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, Hagel · MTL Savard, Belzile, Matheson, Anderson, Gurianov

  35. P2 11:38Shot by Killorn, saved by Montembeault4v5
  36. P2 12:23Goal by Ylonen (Hoffman, Barron)4v5+24 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Bogosian, Hedman, Cirelli, Hagel · MTL Hoffman, Savard, Edmundson, Gurianov, Ylonen

  37. P2 14:16Shot by Gurianov, saved by Elliott
  38. P2 14:45Shot by Hoffman, saved by Elliott
  39. P2 14:59Shot by Hoffman, saved by Elliott
  40. P2 15:47Shot by Jeannot, saved by Montembeault
  41. P2 16:12Shot by Barron, saved by Elliott
  42. P2 17:25Hoffman: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Bogosian, Hedman, Paul, Colton · MTL Hoffman, Savard, Matheson, Pitlick, Suzuki

  43. P2 17:53Shot by Stamkos, saved by Montembeault5v4
  44. P2 17:59Shot by Sergachev, saved by Montembeault5v4
  45. P2 18:07Shot by Stamkos, saved by Montembeault5v4
  46. P2 18:15Shot by Anderson, saved by Elliott5v4
  47. P2 18:16Shot by Belzile, saved by Elliott5v4
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:33Shot by Jeannot, saved by Montembeault
  51. P3 2:03Shot by Colton, saved by Montembeault
  52. P3 2:41Shot by Hoffman, saved by Elliott
  53. P3 2:51Pezzetta: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Bellemare, Raddysh, Sergachev, Eyssimont · MTL Wideman, Belzile, Richard, Pezzetta, Kovacevic

  54. P3 3:14Goal by Stamkos (Kucherov, Killorn)5v4+27 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev · MTL Savard, Edmundson, Suzuki, Harvey-Pinard

  55. P3 5:28Shot by Sergachev, saved by Montembeault
  56. P3 5:53Shot by Raddysh, saved by Montembeault
  57. P3 5:58Goal by Hagel (Sergachev, Point)+26 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Point, Raddysh, Sergachev, Hagel · MTL Savard, Edmundson, Richard, Gurianov, Suzuki

  58. P3 9:03Shot by Cernak, saved by Montembeault
  59. P3 10:35Shot by Hoffman, saved by Elliott
  60. P3 11:55Hagel: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Bogosian, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Hagel · MTL Hoffman, Savard, Belzile, Edmundson, Pitlick

  61. P3 14:03Shot by Hedman, saved by Montembeault
  62. P3 14:29Shot by Raddysh, saved by Montembeault
  63. P3 15:39Shot by Richard, saved by Elliott
  64. P3 15:46Shot by Hagel, saved by Montembeault
  65. P3 16:35Shot by Hedman, saved by Montembeault
  66. P3 16:36Shot by Hagel, saved by Montembeault
  67. P3 17:07Shot by Cole, saved by Montembeault
  68. P3 17:23Shot by Sergachev, saved by Montembeault
  69. P3 18:56Shot by Barron, saved by Elliott5v6
  70. P3 19:16Goal by Hagel, unassisted5v6+5 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Cole, Kucherov, Point, Cernak, Hagel · MTL Hoffman, Matheson, Anderson, Gurianov, Suzuki, Ylonen

  71. P3 19:27Shot by Jeannot, saved by Montembeault
  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Final