Sat, Mar 18, 2023·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Vancouver Canucks 3, Los Angeles Kings 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 73% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 14 | 02 | 18 | 03 | 2 | 317 |
| LAK | 111 | 112 | 017 | 00 | 0 | 240 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:53VANBrock BoeserAssists: J.T. Miller, Quinn Hughes · Snap, 0.03 xG1–0
- P1 16:52LAKAlexander EdlerAssists: Gabriel Vilardi · Snap, 0.08 xG1–1
- P2 16:18LAKCarl GrundstromAssists: Rasmus Kupari, Arthur Kaliyev · Deflected, 0.09 xG1–2
- P3 11:33VANElias PetterssonPPAssists: Quinn Hughes, J.T. Miller · Wrist, 0.06 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. LAK Gabriel Vilardi stopped
- 2. VAN Andrei Kuzmenko scored
- 3. LAK Trevor Moore stopped
- 4. VAN J.T. Miller scored
Penalties (4)
- P2 10:24VANGuillaume Brisebois: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway0 min
- P2 11:59VANKyle Burroughs: Tripping2 min
- P3 2:19VANKyle Burroughs: Cross checking2 min
- P3 11:26LAKMikey Anderson: Tripping2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Pettersson won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- Joshua – Garland – Aman9:51
xG 0.17–0.41 (30%)attempts 2–14goals 0–0
- Beauvillier – Pettersson – Kuzmenko14:37
xG 0.24–0.49 (33%)attempts 5–11goals 0–0
- Studnicka – Dries – Podkolzin6:52
xG 0.27–0.56 (33%)attempts 5–13goals 0–1
- Miller – Di Giuseppe – Boeser13:57
xG 0.37–1.28 (22%)attempts 16–17goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestJuulsen – Hughes15:25
xG 0.92–0.36 (72%)attempts 16–10goals 0–1
- Bear – Hughes4:34
xG 0.18–0.01 (93%)attempts 5–3goals 1–0
- Bear – Wolanin2:53
xG 0.00–0.03 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestDanault – Arvidsson – Moore14:50
xG 1.50–0.60 (71%)attempts 20–15goals 0–0
- Vilardi – Iafallo – Lizotte12:14
xG 0.53–0.09 (85%)attempts 17–5goals 1–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Byfield12:52
xG 0.49–0.14 (77%)attempts 13–4goals 0–1
- Grundstrom – Kupari – Kaliyev7:25
xG 0.20–0.41 (33%)attempts 6–5goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestGavrikov – Roy18:10
xG 1.47–0.36 (80%)attempts 26–12goals 0–0
- Edler – Spence11:43
xG 0.76–0.23 (77%)attempts 19–4goals 2–0
- Doughty – Anderson20:46
xG 0.65–0.63 (51%)attempts 18–13goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 73% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).