Sun, Mar 19, 2023·Honda Center, Anaheim
Vancouver Canucks 2, Anaheim Ducks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 83% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 117 | 117 | 06 | 240 |
| ANA | 04 | 08 | 16 | 118 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:05VANJ.T. MillerAssists: Quinn Hughes, Elias Pettersson · Slap, 0.03 xG1–0
- P2 1:31VANElias PetterssonPPGWGAssists: Quinn Hughes, J.T. Miller · Snap, 0.08 xG2–0
- P3 13:10ANARyan StromeAssists: Troy Terry · Backhand, 0.05 xG2–1
Penalties (7)
- P2 0:40ANAScott Harrington: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P2 6:40VANTyler Myers: Interference2 min
- P2 9:19ANASam Carrick: Roughing2 min
- P2 12:13ANATrevor Zegras: Slashing2 min
- P2 12:55VANVitali Kravtsov: Playing without a helmet2 min
- P2 18:52ANAKevin Shattenkirk: Tripping2 min
- P3 2:28VANAnthony Beauvillier: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Miller won the faceoff against Lundeström
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestBeauvillier – Pettersson – Kuzmenko10:51
xG 0.89–0.07 (93%)attempts 15–5goals 0–0
- Miller – Di Giuseppe – Boeser8:42
xG 0.61–0.24 (72%)attempts 13–7goals 0–1
- Dries – Kravtsov – Podkolzin7:47
xG 0.10–0.12 (46%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Joshua – Garland – Aman8:54
xG 0.30–0.34 (46%)attempts 10–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJuulsen – Hughes12:48
xG 0.49–0.10 (83%)attempts 13–2goals 0–0
- Myers – Bear13:57
xG 0.71–0.33 (68%)attempts 14–12goals 0–1
- Burroughs – Wolanin12:31
xG 0.54–0.36 (60%)attempts 14–9goals 0–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestSilfverberg – Vatrano – Lundeström5:55
xG 0.37–0.12 (76%)attempts 3–8goals 0–0
- Strome – Terry – Comtois2:01
xG 0.05–0.09 (36%)attempts 1–2goals 1–0
- Terry – Jones – McTavish9:28
xG 0.10–0.15 (40%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
- Strome – Comtois – Zegras2:30
xG 0.02–0.14 (12%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestShattenkirk – Benoit11:48
xG 0.43–0.30 (59%)attempts 8–10goals 0–0
- Shattenkirk – Fowler4:20
xG 0.00–0.10 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
- Fowler – Harrington11:25
xG 0.28–0.41 (41%)attempts 8–10goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 83% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).