Thu, Mar 23, 2023·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Pittsburgh Penguins 2, Dallas Stars 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 68% of the time.
25%
61%
DAL winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 27:58 | 0.10 | 61.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:38 | 0.01 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:56 | 0.04 | 45.4% | +11.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 21:25 | 0.47 | 67.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:11 | 0.00 | 29.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 19:10 | 0.86 | 66.9% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:00 | 0.77 | 68.6% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:20 | 0.18 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:32 | 0.44 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:53 | 0.41 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:08 | 0.00 | 49.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:40 | 0.33 | 52.7% | +11.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:26 | 0.11 | 53.8% | +11.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:55 | 0.09 | 72.6% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:51 | 0.14 | 71.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:22 | 0.11 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:50 | 0.07 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 8:33 | 0.16 | 42.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 33 | 30 | 3 | .909 | 3.09 | +0.1 | 58:18 |
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 26:01 | 0.15 | 36.9% | +25.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:00 | 0.00 | 34.1% | +18.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:05 | 0.07 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:11 | 0.22 | 28.1% | +25.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:02 | 0.12 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:26 | 0.04 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:21 | 0.27 | 38.4% | +18.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 18:14 | 0.07 | 29.8% | +43.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:50 | 0.43 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 16:36 | 0.79 | 59.9% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:48 | 0.00 | 11.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:56 | 0.08 | 18.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 13:54 | 0.13 | 34.0% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:01 | 0.19 | 58.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:49 | 0.20 | 61.2% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:02 | 0.03 | 43.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:25 | 0.03 | 52.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:11 | 0.27 | 50.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 42 | 40 | 2 | .952 | 4.30 | +2.3 | 60:00 |