Sun, Mar 26, 2023·United Center, Chicago
Vancouver Canucks 4, Chicago Blackhawks 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 74% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 010 | 111 | 310 | 431 |
| CHI | 16 | 08 | 117 | 231 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 16:01CHIConnor MurphySHAssists: Jason Dickinson, Boris Katchouk · Wrist, 0.02 xG0–1
- P2 19:43VANPhillip Di GiuseppeAssists: J.T. Miller, Quinn Hughes · Backhand, 0.06 xG1–1
- P3 12:06VANElias PetterssonAssists: Ethan Bear, Andrei Kuzmenko · Wrist, 0.06 xG2–1
- P3 13:09VANElias PetterssonPPGWGAssists: Andrei Kuzmenko, Brock Boeser · Tip-in, 0.14 xG3–1
- P3 18:18CHILukas ReichelAssists: Andreas Athanasiou, Seth Jones · Bat, 0.16 xG3–2
- P3 18:57VANBrock BoeserENAssists: Ethan Bear · Wrist, 0.71 xG4–2
Penalties (6)
- P1 12:47VANNils Aman: Interference2 min
- P1 15:46CHIReese Johnson: Boarding2 min
- P1 17:57CHICaleb Jones: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 0:25VANPhillip Di Giuseppe: Tripping2 min
- P3 4:08VANJack Rathbone: Hooking2 min
- P3 12:56CHIAndreas Athanasiou: High sticking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00McDonough won the faceoff against Khaira
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestGarland – Dries – McDonough6:12
xG 0.56–0.02 (97%)attempts 8–2goals 0–0
- Miller – Di Giuseppe – Boeser8:44
xG 0.59–0.13 (82%)attempts 14–4goals 1–0
- Beauvillier – Pettersson – Kuzmenko7:48
xG 0.38–0.19 (67%)attempts 9–3goals 0–0
- Joshua – Garland – Aman2:09
xG 0.20–0.08 (70%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBurroughs – Hughes5:59
xG 0.45–0.24 (66%)attempts 4–7goals 1–0
- Burroughs – Rathbone7:38
xG 0.41–0.20 (67%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Bear – Hughes9:12
xG 0.20–0.05 (79%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestJohnson – Dickinson – Raddysh9:45
xG 0.57–0.37 (61%)attempts 11–7goals 0–1
- Khaira – Anderson – Katchouk9:23
xG 0.29–0.11 (73%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
- Bjork – Johnson – Hardman7:14
xG 0.14–0.27 (34%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
- Athanasiou – Entwistle – Reichel8:40
xG 0.20–0.60 (25%)attempts 8–11goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestEnglund – Jones2:23
xG 0.24–0.06 (80%)attempts 5–1goals 0–1
- Jones – Jones10:19
xG 0.46–0.36 (57%)attempts 13–9goals 0–0
- Tinordi – Murphy3:45
xG 0.24–0.18 (57%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 74% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).