Tue, Mar 28, 2023·Madison Square Garden, New York
Columbus Blue Jackets 2, New York Rangers 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 77% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 212 | 010 | 08 | 230 |
| NYR | 317 | 112 | 27 | 636 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:23NYRFilip ChytilAssists: Alexis Lafrenière, K'Andre Miller · Wrist, 0.14 xG0–1
- P1 6:50NYRVladimir TarasenkoAssists: Braden Schneider, Ben Harpur · Tip-in, 0.10 xG0–2
- P1 8:00NYRPatrick KaneGWGAssists: Vincent Trocheck, Chris Kreider · Snap, 0.07 xG0–3
- P1 11:45CBJKirill MarchenkoPPAssists: Jack Roslovic, Johnny Gaudreau · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–3
- P1 19:31CBJJohnny GaudreauAssists: Boone Jenner, Jake Christiansen · Wrist, 0.09 xG2–3
- P2 17:36NYRArtemi PanarinPPAssists: Adam Fox, Mika Zibanejad · Snap, 0.10 xG2–4
- P3 14:27NYRMika ZibanejadAssists: Artemi Panarin · Slap, 0.08 xG2–5
- P3 16:21NYRVincent TrocheckENAssists: Alexis Lafrenière, Adam Fox · Wrist, 0.60 xG2–6
Penalties (6)
- P1 11:18NYRChris Kreider: Interference2 min · PPG
- P1 16:28CBJAdam Boqvist: Hooking2 min
- P2 5:23NYRVincent Trocheck: Tripping2 min
- P2 17:06CBJHunter McKown: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 19:09NYRArtemi Panarin: Holding2 min
- P3 2:43NYRChris Kreider: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Jenner won the faceoff against Zibanejad
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestGaudreau – Jenner – Marchenko10:41
xG 1.11–0.16 (87%)attempts 13–4goals 1–1
- Bemstrom – Foudy – McKown7:44
xG 0.10–0.31 (24%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
- Roslovic – Pederson – Johnson12:16
xG 0.64–0.90 (41%)attempts 9–18goals 0–0
- Kuraly – Fix-Wolansky – Robinson10:29
xG 0.15–1.17 (11%)attempts 6–15goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Boqvist – Christiansen16:44
xG 0.96–0.94 (51%)attempts 14–18goals 1–1
- Peeke – Berni13:49
xG 0.63–1.11 (36%)attempts 10–17goals 0–2
- Bayreuther – Sweezey14:48
xG 0.24–0.87 (22%)attempts 9–14goals 0–1
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestChytil – Kakko – Lafrenière10:50
xG 1.08–0.24 (82%)attempts 12–4goals 1–0
- Goodrow – Vesey – Motte9:45
xG 0.78–0.47 (62%)attempts 10–8goals 0–1
- Kane – Kreider – Trocheck11:03
xG 0.62–0.55 (53%)attempts 13–12goals 1–0
- Tarasenko – Zibanejad – Panarin13:33
xG 0.33–0.91 (27%)attempts 11–10goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestHarpur – Schneider13:05
xG 1.04–0.33 (76%)attempts 13–8goals 2–0
- Mikkola – Fox14:30
xG 0.63–0.60 (51%)attempts 13–12goals 0–0
- Trouba – Miller17:10
xG 1.01–1.13 (47%)attempts 18–13goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 77% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).