Thu, Mar 30, 2023·TD Garden, Boston
Columbus Blue Jackets 1, Boston Bruins 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 74% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 16 | 010 | 010 | 00 | 126 |
| BOS | 08 | 113 | 09 | 11 | 231 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:08CBJJack RoslovicAssists: Liam Foudy · Backhand, 0.15 xG1–0
- P2 10:07BOSTyler BertuzziPPAssists: Pavel Zacha, Charlie McAvoy · Tip-in, 0.17 xG1–1
- OT 0:41BOSDavid PastrnakGWGAssists: Hampus Lindholm, Tomas Nosek · Backhand, 0.19 xG1–2
Penalties (15)
- P1 1:27CBJBoone Jenner: Slashing2 min
- P1 4:05BOSTrent Frederic: Hooking2 min
- P1 6:03CBJLane Pederson: High sticking2 min
- P1 10:04BOSBrad Marchand: Slashing2 min
- P1 18:41BOSJakub Lauko: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 3:01BOSTyler Bertuzzi: High sticking2 min
- P2 5:37CBJBilly Sweezey: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P2 5:37BOSJakub Lauko: Fighting5 min
- P2 9:10CBJLane Pederson: Cross checking2 min
- P2 11:55CBJLane Pederson: Fighting5 min
- P2 11:55BOSTrent Frederic: Fighting5 min
- P2 13:06CBJKirill Marchenko: High sticking double minor4 min
- P3 8:57BOSBrandon Carlo: Fighting5 min
- P3 8:57CBJBoone Jenner: Fighting5 min
- P3 13:27BOSTomas Nosek: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kuraly won the faceoff against Nosek
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestGaudreau – Jenner – Marchenko11:11
xG 0.51–0.36 (58%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
- Roslovic – Fix-Wolansky – Johnson5:08
xG 0.07–0.04 (66%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Kuraly – Pederson – Foudy2:08
xG 0.01–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Kuraly – Robinson – Foudy2:07
xG 0.00–0.06 (0%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Bayreuther – Sweezey9:53
xG 0.31–0.29 (51%)attempts 11–9goals 0–0
- Peeke – Berni12:33
xG 0.40–0.41 (49%)attempts 13–9goals 0–0
- Christiansen – Bjork9:04
xG 0.10–0.89 (10%)attempts 4–14goals 0–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – DeBrusk8:36
xG 0.63–0.17 (78%)attempts 11–4goals 0–0
- Krejci – Pastrnak – Zacha5:05
xG 0.30–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Hathaway – Nosek – Lauko3:41
xG 0.17–0.09 (66%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Coyle – Bertuzzi – Frederic9:17
xG 0.26–0.20 (56%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestOrlov – McAvoy10:26
xG 0.88–0.40 (69%)attempts 13–8goals 0–1
- Lindholm – Clifton3:18
xG 0.26–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Lindholm – Carlo10:28
xG 0.39–0.18 (68%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 74% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).