Sun, Apr 2, 2023·Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg
New Jersey Devils 1, Winnipeg Jets 6
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 07 | 014 | 111 | 132 |
| WPG | 213 | 28 | 26 | 627 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:59WPGNikolaj EhlersAssists: Blake Wheeler, Nate Schmidt · Snap, 0.17 xG0–1
- P1 16:15WPGNino NiederreiterGWGAssists: Blake Wheeler, Vladislav Namestnikov · Wrist, 0.19 xG0–2
- P2 2:42WPGMorgan BarronUnassisted · Wrist, 0.28 xG0–3
- P2 10:34WPGKyle ConnorAssists: Pierre-Luc Dubois · Snap, 0.19 xG0–4
- P3 10:19WPGPierre-Luc DuboisAssists: Josh Morrissey, Dylan DeMelo · Slap, 0.06 xG0–5
- P3 14:10WPGNikolaj EhlersPPAssists: Mark Scheifele, Josh Morrissey · Snap, 0.11 xG0–6
- P3 19:46NJDNico HischierPPAssists: Jack Hughes, Jesper Bratt · Backhand, 0.19 xG1–6
Penalties (7)
- P1 9:00WPGDylan Samberg: Holding2 min
- P1 14:05NJDErik Haula: Tripping2 min
- P1 19:36NJDJonas Siegenthaler: High sticking2 min
- P2 2:42NJDDamon Severson: Penalty shot holding on breakaway0 min
- P3 0:37WPGMark Scheifele: Hooking2 min
- P3 12:17NJDTimo Meier: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 17:50WPGDylan DeMelo: Slashing2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Scheifele won the faceoff against Hischier
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestMeier – Bratt – Hischier6:39
xG 0.64–0.05 (93%)attempts 11–2goals 0–0
- Sharangovich – Hughes – Mercer6:06
xG 0.49–0.00 (100%)attempts 10–1goals 0–0
- Wood – McLeod – Sharangovich4:30
xG 0.10–0.00 (100%)attempts 8–0goals 0–0
- Palat – Bratt – Hughes4:29
xG 0.26–0.17 (61%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSeverson – Bahl12:44
xG 0.98–0.35 (73%)attempts 22–5goals 0–0
- Graves – Marino11:43
xG 1.00–0.90 (53%)attempts 24–12goals 0–2
- Hamilton – Graves2:01
xG 0.10–0.11 (47%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- Wheeler – Namestnikov – Ehlers9:32
xG 0.35–0.36 (50%)attempts 7–12goals 1–0
- Niederreiter – Lowry – Appleton9:33
xG 0.32–0.36 (47%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
- Scheifele – Connor – Dubois12:04
xG 0.69–0.77 (47%)attempts 10–13goals 2–0
- Stenlund – Barron – Kuhlman7:05
xG 0.04–0.66 (6%)attempts 1–15goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDillon – Pionk15:56
xG 0.77–0.66 (54%)attempts 13–18goals 0–0
- Schmidt – Samberg12:18
xG 0.39–0.39 (49%)attempts 8–9goals 1–0
- DeMelo – Morrissey14:00
xG 0.26–1.25 (17%)attempts 5–27goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
WPG's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line WPG is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (WPG − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).