Thu, Apr 6, 2023·Prudential Center, Newark
Columbus Blue Jackets 1, New Jersey Devils 8
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 85% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 05 | 18 | 04 | 117 |
| NJD | 18 | 314 | 414 | 836 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 11:35NJDJack HughesUnassisted · Snap, 0.08 xG0–1
- P2 1:20NJDTomas TatarGWGAssists: Nico Hischier, Ryan Graves · Snap, 0.33 xG0–2
- P2 2:20NJDJack HughesPPAssists: Timo Meier, Nico Hischier · Snap, 0.08 xG0–3
- P2 11:33CBJJoona LuotoAssists: Sean Kuraly, Eric Robinson · Snap, 0.33 xG1–3
- P2 16:16NJDTimo MeierPPAssists: Jack Hughes, Jesper Bratt · Snap, 0.17 xG1–4
- P3 2:07NJDErik HaulaAssists: John Marino, Jesper Boqvist · Snap, 0.07 xG1–5
- P3 4:40NJDTimo MeierAssists: John Marino, Jack Hughes · Wrist, 0.12 xG1–6
- P3 6:36NJDDamon SeversonSHAssists: Erik Haula · Snap, 0.13 xG1–7
- P3 9:27NJDRyan GravesAssists: Michael McLeod, John Marino · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–8
Penalties (14)
- P1 9:26NJDMichael McLeod: Slashing2 min
- P1 13:24NJDMiles Wood: Roughing2 min
- P2 2:07CBJMarcus Bjork: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P2 8:46NJDYegor Sharangovich: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 11:33NJDTomas Tatar: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
- P2 14:51CBJMarcus Bjork: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 5:27NJDKevin Bahl: Clipping2 min
- P3 10:47CBJBilly Sweezey: Roughing2 min
- P3 10:47NJDKevin Bahl: Roughing2 min
- P3 10:47CBJMarcus Bjork: Roughing2 min
- P3 10:47NJDNico Hischier: Roughing2 min
- P3 10:47CBJBilly Sweezey: Roughing2 min
- P3 10:47CBJMarcus Bjork: Misconduct10 min
- P3 10:47NJDKevin Bahl: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kuraly won the faceoff against Haula
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- Foudy – Dunne – McKown2:37
xG 0.04–0.00 (92%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Roslovic – Foudy – Johnson2:13
xG 0.04–0.02 (73%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Jenner – Marchenko – Johnson3:36
xG 0.24–0.26 (49%)attempts 2–6goals 0–0
- Roslovic – Bemstrom – Johnson3:50
xG 0.17–0.22 (43%)attempts 2–6goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Peeke – Berni2:26
xG 0.00–0.01 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
- Sweezey – Bjork9:33
xG 0.74–0.82 (47%)attempts 6–14goals 1–0
- Boqvist – Berni14:10
xG 0.54–0.70 (44%)attempts 10–14goals 0–2
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestTatar – Hischier – Mercer7:37
xG 0.78–0.07 (91%)attempts 8–1goals 1–0
- Haula – Meier – Boqvist8:09
xG 0.78–0.21 (79%)attempts 11–6goals 1–0
- Wood – McLeod – Sharangovich8:11
xG 0.27–0.18 (60%)attempts 14–4goals 0–0
- Palat – Bratt – Hughes7:18
xG 0.24–0.60 (28%)attempts 6–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSmith – Severson14:33
xG 1.06–0.07 (94%)attempts 22–7goals 0–0
- Graves – Marino11:39
xG 1.09–0.59 (65%)attempts 13–6goals 4–0
- Hamilton – Bahl11:18
xG 0.19–0.27 (42%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 85% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).