Sat, Apr 8, 2023·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
New York Rangers 4, Columbus Blue Jackets 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 72% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 29 | 011 | 28 | 428 |
| CBJ | 012 | 03 | 05 | 020 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:08NYRJimmy VeseyGWGAssists: Tyler Motte, Barclay Goodrow · Wrist, 0.10 xG1–0
- P1 11:49NYRChris KreiderAssists: Mika Zibanejad, K'Andre Miller · Wrist, 0.20 xG2–0
- P3 5:00NYRNiko MikkolaAssists: Mika Zibanejad, Patrick Kane · Tip-in, 0.13 xG3–0
- P3 19:40NYRVincent TrocheckAssists: Vladimir Tarasenko · Wrist, 0.11 xG4–0
Penalties (4)
- P1 4:41NYRVincent Trocheck: Tripping2 min
- P2 4:01CBJKent Johnson: Slashing2 min
- P3 9:55CBJHunter McKown: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 11:43NYRJacob Trouba: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Trocheck won the faceoff against Jenner
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestKane – Kreider – Zibanejad9:35
xG 0.75–0.39 (66%)attempts 17–6goals 2–0
- Tarasenko – Trocheck – Panarin10:45
xG 0.70–0.36 (66%)attempts 13–6goals 1–0
- Goodrow – Vesey – Motte9:41
xG 0.33–0.22 (60%)attempts 5–12goals 1–0
- Chytil – Kakko – Lafrenière11:47
xG 0.36–0.29 (55%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestTrouba – Miller15:20
xG 1.13–0.51 (69%)attempts 22–11goals 1–0
- Trouba – Fox2:13
xG 0.15–0.11 (58%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Mikkola – Schneider14:10
xG 0.56–0.52 (52%)attempts 9–12goals 1–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestBemstrom – Luoto – McKown8:37
xG 0.41–0.20 (67%)attempts 14–3goals 0–1
- Roslovic – Fix-Wolansky – Johnson8:23
xG 0.13–0.11 (55%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Kuraly – Robinson – Foudy8:23
xG 0.14–0.42 (25%)attempts 5–11goals 0–0
- Gaudreau – Jenner – Marchenko13:55
xG 0.50–1.01 (33%)attempts 9–19goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestBoqvist – Berni6:11
xG 0.70–0.26 (73%)attempts 11–4goals 0–1
- Berni – Bjork7:12
xG 0.00–0.20 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–1
- Jiricek – Bjork5:22
xG 0.13–0.36 (27%)attempts 2–7goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 72% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).