Sat, Apr 8, 2023·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Chicago Blackhawks 3, Seattle Kraken 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 110 | 28 | 011 | 329 |
| SEA | 313 | 214 | 24 | 731 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:48SEAEeli TolvanenAssists: Jesper Froden, Jamie Oleksiak · Wrist, 0.06 xG0–1
- P1 5:44CHISeth JonesAssists: Anders Bjork, Andreas Athanasiou · Snap, 0.13 xG1–1
- P1 8:55SEAJordan EberleAssists: Jamie Oleksiak · Deflected, 0.16 xG1–2
- P1 19:09SEAYanni GourdePPAssists: Jordan Eberle, Daniel Sprong · Bat, 0.27 xG1–3
- P2 10:39CHISeth JonesPPAssists: Lukas Reichel, Andreas Athanasiou · Slap, 0.13 xG2–3
- P2 12:21SEAAdam LarssonGWGAssists: Jared McCann, Jamie Oleksiak · Wrist, 0.14 xG2–4
- P2 13:16SEADaniel SprongAssists: Justin Schultz · Wrist, 0.13 xG2–5
- P2 15:02CHILukas ReichelAssists: Alex Vlasic, Jason Dickinson · Tip-in, 0.21 xG3–5
- P3 11:54SEAJared McCannAssists: Oliver Bjorkstrand · Wrist, 0.08 xG3–6
- P3 14:51SEAMorgan GeekieAssists: Daniel Sprong, Ryan Donato · Snap, 0.13 xG3–7
Penalties (8)
- P1 10:42SEAJamie Oleksiak: Tripping2 min
- P1 14:29CHIJonathan Toews: Tripping2 min
- P1 17:30CHISeth Jones: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 6:38CHIJarred Tinordi: Tripping2 min
- P2 9:08SEAMorgan Geekie: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 10:14SEAAdam Larsson: Tripping2 min
- P2 13:30SEAVince Dunn: Cross checking2 min
- P2 13:30CHIConnor Murphy: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Khaira won the faceoff against Beniers
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestAthanasiou – Bjork – Reichel9:32
xG 0.56–0.37 (60%)attempts 16–3goals 1–2
- Wagner – Entwistle – Johnson7:14
xG 0.10–0.09 (51%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
- Toews – Johnson – Dickinson9:52
xG 0.41–0.51 (44%)attempts 13–8goals 0–1
- Khaira – Anderson – Katchouk9:57
xG 0.31–0.52 (37%)attempts 10–9goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestMurphy – Vlasic11:50
xG 0.56–0.16 (78%)attempts 15–7goals 0–0
- Jones – Kaiser7:31
xG 0.15–0.06 (71%)attempts 11–2goals 0–0
- Jones – Jones7:51
xG 0.50–0.44 (53%)attempts 9–7goals 1–0
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestEberle – McCann – Beniers9:49
xG 0.48–0.20 (70%)attempts 7–7goals 1–0
- Sprong – Tanev – Geekie7:12
xG 0.46–0.30 (61%)attempts 14–6goals 0–0
- Gourde – Tolvanen – Froden9:56
xG 0.20–0.17 (54%)attempts 5–15goals 1–0
- Bjorkstrand – Wennberg – Tanev2:28
xG 0.00–0.12 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestOleksiak – Borgen13:50
xG 0.58–0.49 (54%)attempts 8–19goals 3–0
- Schultz – Soucy11:05
xG 0.44–0.50 (47%)attempts 10–13goals 1–0
- Larsson – Dunn15:31
xG 0.13–0.49 (21%)attempts 9–13goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SEA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SEA is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SEA − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).