Thu, Apr 13, 2023·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Pittsburgh Penguins 2, Columbus Blue Jackets 3 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 50% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 113 | 012 | 111 | 00 | 236 |
| CBJ | 08 | 114 | 111 | 11 | 334 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:28PITKris LetangPPAssists: Sidney Crosby, Rickard Rakell · Wrist, 0.01 xG1–0
- P2 2:12CBJAndrew PeekeAssists: Hunter McKown · Slap, 0.01 xG1–1
- P3 3:53PITJake GuentzelPPAssists: Kris Letang, Sidney Crosby · Wrist, 0.03 xG2–1
- P3 16:35CBJEmil BemstromPPAssists: Mikael Pyyhtia, Stanislav Svozil · Snap, 0.08 xG2–2
- OT 1:00CBJJohnny GaudreauGWGAssists: Adam Boqvist, Sean Kuraly · Backhand, 0.16 xG2–3
Penalties (6)
- P1 4:12CBJStanislav Svozil: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 6:34PITJeff Carter: Hooking2 min
- P3 2:42CBJMikael Pyyhtia: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 5:28PITDmitry Kulikov: Hooking2 min
- P3 9:32PITMikael Granlund: Holding2 min
- P3 14:44PITAlex Nylander: High sticking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kuraly won the faceoff against Crosby
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Pittsburgh Penguins
Forward lines
- bestMalkin – Zucker – Rakell9:02
xG 1.04–0.39 (73%)attempts 14–7goals 0–0
- Crosby – Rakell – Guentzel3:43
xG 0.34–0.02 (95%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Malkin – Zucker – Granlund3:00
xG 0.32–0.09 (78%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Granlund – Nylander – Poehling6:19
xG 0.24–0.03 (88%)attempts 6–3goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestKulikov – Joseph10:02
xG 0.74–0.40 (65%)attempts 14–9goals 0–1
- Petry – Pettersson15:12
xG 1.17–0.88 (57%)attempts 14–20goals 0–0
- Letang – Pettersson3:52
xG 0.06–0.14 (30%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestGaudreau – Kuraly – Marchenko10:23
xG 0.89–0.30 (75%)attempts 11–7goals 0–0
- Bemstrom – Pyyhtia – McKown2:39
xG 0.08–0.01 (88%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
- Kuraly – Luoto – Angle3:13
xG 0.00–0.08 (2%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Bemstrom – Luoto – McKown6:39
xG 0.22–0.36 (38%)attempts 6–6goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestPeeke – Berni5:47
xG 0.39–0.12 (76%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Boqvist – Berni2:29
xG 0.13–0.01 (92%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Berni – Sweezey4:13
xG 0.17–0.06 (74%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it PIT. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 50% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − PIT), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).