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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 17, 2023·Centre Bell, Montreal

Minnesota Wild 5, Montréal Canadiens 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 75% of the time.

MTL winsMIN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:46Shot by Hartman, saved by Montembeault
  3. P1 4:29Shot by Rossi, saved by Montembeault
  4. P1 5:20Shot by Newhook, saved by Fleury
  5. P1 6:10Anderson: Roughing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: MTL Savard, Gallagher, Matheson, Anderson, Monahan · MIN Johansson, Zuccarello, Merrill, Hartman, Mermis, Kaprizov

  6. P1 6:23Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Montembeault4v5
  7. P1 6:31Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Montembeault4v5
  8. P1 7:03Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Montembeault4v5
  9. P1 7:51Shot by Foligno, saved by Montembeault4v5
  10. P1 8:43Hartman: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Anderson, Evans, Harris, Ylonen, Xhekaj · MIN Maroon, Brodin, Hartman, Dewar, Faber

  11. P1 9:20Goal by Duhaime (Middleton)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Matheson, Anderson, Monahan, Suzuki, Caufield · MIN Merrill, Brodin, Eriksson Ek, Duhaime

  12. P1 9:40Shot by Duhaime, saved by Montembeault5v4
  13. P1 9:45Goal by Dewar, unassisted5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Gallagher, Pearson, Newhook, Xhekaj, Slafkovský · MIN Merrill, Brodin, Duhaime, Dewar

  14. P1 11:29Shot by Rossi, saved by Montembeault
  15. P1 15:35Shot by Anderson, saved by Fleury
  16. P1 17:43Shot by Duhaime, saved by Montembeault
  17. P1 17:56Shot by Pearson, saved by Fleury
  18. P1 18:46Shot by Matheson, saved by Fleury
  19. P1 19:41Shot by Caufield, saved by Fleury
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:20Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Montembeault
  23. P2 1:25Slafkovský: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: MTL Pearson, Harris, Newhook, Xhekaj, Slafkovský · MIN Foligno, Gaudreau, Middleton, Kaprizov, Rossi, Faber

  24. P2 2:01Guhle: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: MTL Evans, Kovacevic, Ylonen, Guhle · MIN Johansson, Zuccarello, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Addison

  25. P2 2:03Shot by Addison, saved by Montembeault3v5
  26. P2 2:15Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Montembeault3v5
  27. P2 2:17Goal by Eriksson Ek (Zuccarello, Kaprizov)3v5+9 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Savard, Matheson, Evans · MIN Johansson, Zuccarello, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Addison

  28. P2 4:05Shot by Hartman, saved by Montembeault
  29. P2 5:46Caufield: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Kovacevic, Harvey-Pinard, Caufield, Newhook, Guhle · MIN Zuccarello, Hartman, Middleton, Kaprizov, Faber

  30. P2 6:22Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Montembeault4v5
  31. P2 6:57Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Montembeault4v5
  32. P2 7:49Shot by Foligno, saved by Montembeault
  33. P2 8:33Shot by Duhaime, saved by Montembeault
  34. P2 9:47Goal by Pearson, unassisted+9 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Pearson, Anderson, Monahan, Kovacevic, Xhekaj · MIN Zuccarello, Merrill, Hartman, Mermis, Kaprizov

  35. P2 11:14Pezzetta: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: MTL Savard, Matheson, Evans, Pezzetta, Ylonen · MIN Gaudreau, Middleton, Duhaime, Rossi, Faber

  36. P2 11:14Duhaime: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: MTL Savard, Matheson, Evans, Pezzetta, Ylonen · MIN Gaudreau, Middleton, Duhaime, Rossi, Faber

  37. P2 12:31Shot by Monahan, saved by Fleury
  38. P2 12:49Shot by Maroon, saved by Montembeault
  39. P2 13:45Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Montembeault
  40. P2 14:08Shot by Johansson, saved by Montembeault
  41. P2 14:09Eriksson Ek: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Suzuki, Kovacevic, Harris, Harvey-Pinard, Caufield · MIN Johansson, Brodin, Gaudreau, Eriksson Ek, Addison

  42. P2 14:58Shot by Suzuki, saved by Fleury5v4
  43. P2 15:46Slafkovský: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: MTL Gallagher, Pearson, Newhook, Xhekaj, Slafkovský · MIN Johansson, Merrill, Middleton, Rossi

  44. P2 16:03Shot by Savard, saved by Fleury4v4
  45. P2 16:05Shot by Evans, saved by Fleury4v4
  46. P2 16:54Shot by Addison, saved by Montembeault4v5
  47. P2 17:22Goal by Kaprizov (Zuccarello, Addison)4v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Monahan, Kovacevic, Harris, Harvey-Pinard · MIN Johansson, Zuccarello, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Addison

  48. P2 18:00Duhaime: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Anderson, Suzuki, Harris, Caufield, Xhekaj · MIN Maroon, Middleton, Duhaime, Dewar, Faber

  49. P2 18:05Shot by Suzuki, saved by Fleury5v4
  50. P2 18:13Shot by Brodin, saved by Montembeault5v4
  51. P2 19:42Shot by Slafkovský, saved by Fleury5v4
  52. P2 19:54Shot by Gallagher, saved by Fleury5v4
  53. P2 19:55Shot by Pearson, saved by Fleury5v4
  54. P2 0:00Xhekaj: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: MTL Gallagher, Pearson, Newhook, Xhekaj, Slafkovský · MIN Johansson, Merrill, Hartman, Middleton, Dewar

  55. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 0:34Shot by Addison, saved by Montembeault4v5
  58. P3 0:35Matheson: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: MTL Savard, Matheson, Evans, Ylonen · MIN Johansson, Zuccarello, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Addison

  59. P3 0:35Eriksson Ek: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: MTL Savard, Matheson, Evans, Ylonen · MIN Johansson, Zuccarello, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Addison

  60. P3 1:03Shot by Kovacevic, saved by Fleury4v5
  61. P3 3:14Shot by Savard, saved by Fleury
  62. P3 3:41Pearson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Savard, Pearson, Harris, Newhook, Slafkovský · MIN Middleton, Kaprizov, Duhaime, Dewar, Faber

  63. P3 4:49Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Montembeault4v5
  64. P3 5:04Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Montembeault4v5
  65. P3 5:20Goal by Eriksson Ek (Kaprizov, Zuccarello)4v5+2 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Savard, Anderson, Suzuki, Harris · MIN Johansson, Zuccarello, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Addison

  66. P3 5:47Shot by Pezzetta, saved by Fleury
  67. P3 6:53Shot by Matheson, saved by Fleury
  68. P3 6:58Shot by Xhekaj, saved by Fleury
  69. P3 7:55Shot by Caufield, saved by Fleury
  70. P3 8:22Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Montembeault
  71. P3 9:27Shot by Ylonen, saved by Fleury
  72. P3 12:08Shot by Maroon, saved by Montembeault
  73. P3 13:15Mermis: Instigator (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Savard, Matheson, Evans, Pezzetta, Ylonen · MIN Zuccarello, Merrill, Hartman, Mermis, Kaprizov

  74. P3 13:15Mermis: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: MTL Savard, Matheson, Evans, Pezzetta, Ylonen · MIN Zuccarello, Merrill, Hartman, Mermis, Kaprizov

  75. P3 13:15Pezzetta: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: MTL Savard, Matheson, Evans, Pezzetta, Ylonen · MIN Zuccarello, Merrill, Hartman, Mermis, Kaprizov

  76. P3 13:15Mermis: Instigator misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: MTL Savard, Matheson, Evans, Pezzetta, Ylonen · MIN Zuccarello, Merrill, Hartman, Mermis, Kaprizov

  77. P3 13:55Shot by Monahan, saved by Fleury5v4
  78. P3 14:06Shot by Caufield, saved by Fleury5v4
  79. P3 14:08Anderson: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: MTL Matheson, Anderson, Monahan, Suzuki, Caufield · MIN Brodin, Gaudreau, Eriksson Ek, Faber

  80. P3 14:08Anderson: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: MTL Matheson, Anderson, Monahan, Suzuki, Caufield · MIN Brodin, Gaudreau, Eriksson Ek, Faber

  81. P3 14:08Eriksson Ek: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: MTL Matheson, Anderson, Monahan, Suzuki, Caufield · MIN Brodin, Gaudreau, Eriksson Ek, Faber

  82. P3 14:08Anderson: Misconduct (10 min)5v4

    On ice: MTL Matheson, Anderson, Monahan, Suzuki, Caufield · MIN Brodin, Gaudreau, Eriksson Ek, Faber

  83. P3 14:08Eriksson Ek: Misconduct (10 min)5v4

    On ice: MTL Matheson, Anderson, Monahan, Suzuki, Caufield · MIN Brodin, Gaudreau, Eriksson Ek, Faber

  84. P3 16:06Shot by Hartman, saved by Montembeault4v5
  85. P3 16:36Shot by Hartman, saved by Montembeault
  86. P3 17:21Shot by Ylonen, saved by Fleury
  87. P3 17:25Shot by Caufield, saved by Fleury
  88. P3 17:35Goal by Newhook (Savard, Caufield)0 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Savard, Harris, Caufield, Newhook, Slafkovský · MIN Maroon, Merrill, Middleton, Duhaime, Dewar

  89. P3 17:49Shot by Duhaime, saved by Montembeault
  90. P3 18:16Foligno: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Evans, Kovacevic, Ylonen, Harvey-Pinard, Xhekaj · MIN Foligno, Brodin, Gaudreau, Rossi, Faber

  91. P3 19:19Shot by Matheson, saved by Fleury6v4
  92. P3 19:43Shot by Caufield, saved by Fleury6v4
  93. P3 0:00Period end6v4
  94. P3 0:00Final6v5