Tue, Oct 24, 2023·United Center, Chicago
Boston Bruins 3, Chicago Blackhawks 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 58% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 012 | 118 | 213 | 343 |
| CHI | 09 | 07 | 07 | 023 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 3:50BOSPavel ZachaGWGAssists: Kevin Shattenkirk, Jake DeBrusk · Deflected, 0.06 xG1–0
- P3 4:06BOSMatthew PoitrasAssists: Morgan Geekie · Wrist, 0.19 xG2–0
- P3 5:02BOSTrent FredericAssists: James van Riemsdyk, Charlie Coyle · Wrist, 0.20 xG3–0
Penalties (9)
- P1 4:00CHIKevin Korchinski: Holding2 min
- P1 12:25BOSJakub Lauko: Tripping2 min
- P1 13:49CHITyler Johnson: Hooking2 min
- P1 19:36BOSTrent Frederic: Hooking2 min
- P2 9:51BOSCharlie McAvoy: Holding2 min
- P2 12:45CHIBoris Katchouk: Tripping2 min
- P2 19:03CHISeth Jones: Hooking2 min
- P3 15:20CHICorey Perry: Roughing2 min
- P3 15:20BOSKevin Shattenkirk: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zacha won the faceoff against Dickinson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestvan Riemsdyk – Coyle – Frederic8:20
xG 0.72–0.20 (79%)attempts 9–12goals 1–0
- Brown – Lauko – Beecher6:56
xG 0.42–0.02 (96%)attempts 8–3goals 0–0
- Zacha – DeBrusk – Geekie3:43
xG 0.44–0.08 (84%)attempts 8–1goals 1–0
- Marchand – Pastrnak – Zacha4:59
xG 0.06–0.05 (56%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestForbort – McAvoy3:21
xG 0.22–0.02 (92%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Grzelcyk – Carlo2:44
xG 0.28–0.11 (71%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Grzelcyk – McAvoy10:41
xG 0.72–0.57 (56%)attempts 16–6goals 1–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestFoligno – Kurashev – Bedard2:34
xG 0.12–0.02 (86%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Perry – Dickinson – Kurashev7:05
xG 0.31–0.24 (57%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
- Foligno – Johnson – Bedard8:39
xG 0.40–0.40 (50%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
- Donato – Katchouk – Johnson7:58
xG 0.07–0.36 (16%)attempts 5–12goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestJones – Korchinski12:57
xG 0.75–0.54 (58%)attempts 15–12goals 0–1
- Jones – Vlasic2:15
xG 0.12–0.05 (72%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Murphy – Vlasic12:35
xG 0.33–0.58 (36%)attempts 11–14goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 58% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).