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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 24, 2023·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

New York Rangers 3, Calgary Flames 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 62% of the time.

CGY winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:10Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Shesterkin
  3. P1 1:15Goal by Coleman (Backlund, Mangiapane)+16 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Tanev, Coleman, Mangiapane, Gilbert · NYR Panarin, Fox, Lindgren, Chytil, Lafrenière

  4. P1 2:25Shot by Weegar, saved by Shesterkin
  5. P1 3:33Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Markstrom
  6. P1 4:01Shot by Ruzicka, saved by Shesterkin
  7. P1 4:43Shot by Goodrow, saved by Markstrom
  8. P1 7:39Shot by Coleman, saved by Shesterkin
  9. P1 9:05Shot by Kadri, saved by Shesterkin
  10. P1 10:06Shot by Vesey, saved by Markstrom
  11. P1 14:26Shot by Trouba, saved by Markstrom
  12. P1 16:00Shot by Trocheck, saved by Markstrom
  13. P1 16:41Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Markstrom
  14. P1 16:50Shot by Trouba, saved by Markstrom
  15. P1 17:01Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Shesterkin
  16. P1 18:35Shot by Hanifin, saved by Shesterkin
  17. P1 19:01Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Markstrom
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:18Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Markstrom
  21. P2 0:52Cuylle: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Tanev, Lindholm, Hunt, Gilbert, Coronato · NYR Wheeler, Trocheck, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren, Cuylle

  22. P2 1:27Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  23. P2 4:51Shot by Coleman, saved by Shesterkin
  24. P2 6:06Coronato: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CGY Zadorov, Oesterle, Dube, Coronato · NYR Bonino, Kreider, Zibanejad, Trouba, Miller, Lafrenière

  25. P2 7:38Goal by Lafrenière (Gustafsson, Chytil)4v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Tanev, Lindholm, Zadorov · NYR Gustafsson, Chytil, Kakko, Lafrenière, Cuylle

  26. P2 7:59Shot by Weegar, saved by Shesterkin
  27. P2 8:37Trocheck: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Zadorov, Oesterle, Dube, Duehr · NYR Wheeler, Trocheck, Fox, Lindgren, Cuylle

  28. P2 9:12Shot by Lindholm, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  29. P2 9:21Shot by Hanifin, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  30. P2 12:04Shot by Coleman, saved by Shesterkin
  31. P2 12:18Zadorov: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Coleman, Zadorov, Oesterle, Mangiapane · NYR Wheeler, Trocheck, Gustafsson, Lindgren, Cuylle

  32. P2 13:16Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Markstrom4v5
  33. P2 14:09Goal by Kreider (Panarin, Fox)4v5+23 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Weegar, Lindholm, Hanifin · NYR Kreider, Trocheck, Zibanejad, Panarin, Fox

  34. P2 15:08Shot by Hunt, saved by Shesterkin
  35. P2 15:09Shot by Oesterle, saved by Shesterkin
  36. P2 15:22Trocheck: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Oesterle, Hunt, Gilbert, Coronato · NYR Wheeler, Trocheck, Fox, Lindgren, Cuylle

  37. P2 15:47Weegar: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Weegar, Mangiapane, Dube, Sharangovich · NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Trouba, Lindgren

  38. P2 16:15Shot by Tanev, saved by Shesterkin4v4
  39. P2 16:52Shot by Chytil, saved by Markstrom4v4
  40. P2 16:53Goal by Gustafsson (Chytil, Miller)4v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Tanev, Huberdeau, Lindholm, Hanifin · NYR Vesey, Gustafsson, Chytil, Miller

  41. P2 19:35Cuylle: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Tanev, Coleman, Huberdeau, Gilbert · NYR Wheeler, Trocheck, Fox, Lindgren, Cuylle

  42. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 1:28Shot by Weegar, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  45. P3 4:28Shot by Duehr, saved by Shesterkin
  46. P3 4:37Shot by Kadri, saved by Shesterkin
  47. P3 5:27Shot by Oesterle, saved by Shesterkin
  48. P3 8:07Shot by Chytil, saved by Markstrom
  49. P3 8:40Shot by Zadorov, saved by Shesterkin
  50. P3 8:51Shot by Cuylle, saved by Markstrom
  51. P3 9:11Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Shesterkin
  52. P3 9:31Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Shesterkin
  53. P3 11:34Shot by Trouba, saved by Markstrom
  54. P3 16:44Shot by Zadorov, saved by Shesterkin
  55. P3 17:56Shot by Kadri, saved by Shesterkin6v5
  56. P3 18:24Tanev: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CGY Tanev, Coleman, Huberdeau, Lindholm, Zadorov, Mangiapane · NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Goodrow, Trouba, Miller

  57. P3 18:51Shot by Kreider, saved by Markstrom4v5
  58. P3 18:58Coleman: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CGY Coleman, Weegar, Hanifin, Sharangovich · NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Gustafsson, Fox, Kakko

  59. P3 19:08Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Markstrom3v5
  60. P3 19:38Shot by Trocheck, saved by Markstrom3v5
  61. P3 0:00Period end3v5
  62. P3 0:00Final3v5