Thu, Nov 2, 2023·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Vancouver Canucks 10, San Jose Sharks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 415 | 410 | 28 | 1033 |
| SJS | 06 | 07 | 118 | 131 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:23VANBrock BoeserPPAssists: Elias Pettersson, Quinn Hughes · Slap, 0.08 xG1–0
- P1 4:00VANJ.T. MillerPPGWGAssists: Brock Boeser, Quinn Hughes · Backhand, 0.18 xG2–0
- P1 8:00VANQuinn HughesAssists: Filip Hronek, Sam Lafferty · Wrist, 0.04 xG3–0
- P1 16:49VANBrock BoeserPPAssists: Andrei Kuzmenko, J.T. Miller · Tip-in, 0.13 xG4–0
- P2 1:03VANIlya MikheyevAssists: Carson Soucy, Elias Pettersson · Snap, 0.21 xG5–0
- P2 8:47VANAndrei KuzmenkoAssists: Elias Pettersson, Mark Friedman · Wrist, 0.12 xG6–0
- P2 12:35VANSam LaffertyAssists: J.T. Miller, Quinn Hughes · Wrap-around, 0.06 xG7–0
- P2 17:26VANPius SuterAssists: Quinn Hughes · Wrist, 0.03 xG8–0
- P3 3:10VANAnthony BeauvillierPPAssists: Carson Soucy, Filip Hronek · Slap, 0.19 xG9–0
- P3 11:58VANAnthony BeauvillierAssists: Conor Garland · Wrist, 0.12 xG10–0
- P3 16:12SJSFabian ZetterlundPPAssists: Luke Kunin, Kevin Labanc · Snap, 0.12 xG10–1
Penalties (9)
- P1 1:09SJSNico Sturm: High sticking double minor4 min · PPG
- P1 15:47SJSMario Ferraro: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 2:27VANQuinn Hughes: Holding the stick2 min
- P2 10:19SJSLuke Kunin: Interference2 min
- P2 10:19VANPhillip Di Giuseppe: Fighting5 min
- P2 10:19SJSLuke Kunin: Fighting5 min
- P2 15:08VANQuinn Hughes: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 1:27SJSKevin Labanc: Holding the stick2 min · PPG
- P3 14:32VANQuinn Hughes: Interference2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Miller won the faceoff against Granlund
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestPettersson – Mikheyev – Kuzmenko7:00
xG 0.49–0.15 (77%)attempts 8–1goals 2–0
- Lafferty – Studnicka – Hoglander10:08
xG 0.40–0.06 (86%)attempts 13–7goals 1–0
- Miller – Di Giuseppe – Boeser8:15
xG 0.27–0.37 (43%)attempts 4–12goals 0–0
- Beauvillier – Garland – Suter10:32
xG 0.44–0.92 (32%)attempts 14–18goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestHronek – Hughes12:06
xG 0.56–0.23 (71%)attempts 17–4goals 1–0
- Myers – Soucy15:09
xG 0.80–0.90 (47%)attempts 16–23goals 3–0
- Cole – Friedman14:32
xG 0.37–0.76 (33%)attempts 10–20goals 1–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestGranlund – Kunin – Eklund9:24
xG 0.44–0.19 (70%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
- Hertl – Duclair – Zetterlund8:59
xG 0.54–0.63 (46%)attempts 12–9goals 0–2
- Labanc – Zadina – Sturm5:34
xG 0.02–0.39 (5%)attempts 3–11goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestVlasic – Burroughs9:20
xG 0.46–0.19 (70%)attempts 10–11goals 0–1
- Rutta – Okhotiuk9:37
xG 0.24–0.37 (39%)attempts 8–10goals 0–0
- Ferraro – Emberson8:30
xG 0.37–0.52 (41%)attempts 10–11goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).