Sat, Nov 4, 2023·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
Los Angeles Kings 5, Philadelphia Flyers 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 211 | 211 | 18 | 530 |
| PHI | 013 | 08 | 03 | 024 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 14:32LAKAdrian KempeGWGAssists: Quinton Byfield, Vladislav Gavrikov · Tip-in, 0.10 xG1–0
- P1 14:50LAKAnze KopitarAssists: Matt Roy, Quinton Byfield · Tip-in, 0.05 xG2–0
- P2 16:01LAKArthur KaliyevPPAssists: Quinton Byfield, Trevor Moore · Wrist, 0.14 xG3–0
- P2 19:44LAKTrevor MooreAssists: Arthur Kaliyev · Wrist, 0.02 xG4–0
- P3 6:32LAKBlake LizotteAssists: Alex Laferriere · Snap, 0.08 xG5–0
Penalties (9)
- P1 3:57PHIEgor Zamula: Hooking2 min
- P1 11:03LAKAdrian Kempe: High sticking2 min
- P1 15:32PHIEgor Zamula: Interference2 min
- P2 3:12LAKArthur Kaliyev: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 6:24LAKMikey Anderson: Interference2 min
- P2 12:59PHINick Seeler: High sticking2 min
- P2 15:13PHICam York: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P2 16:39LAKBlake Lizotte: Hooking2 min
- P3 12:39PHIScott Laughton: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Frost won the faceoff against Danault
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestDanault – Moore – Kaliyev9:22
xG 0.40–0.27 (60%)attempts 11–14goals 1–0
- Fiala – Dubois – Laferriere8:47
xG 0.49–0.51 (49%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
- Lewis – Grundstrom – Lizotte8:32
xG 0.08–0.15 (34%)attempts 3–7goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Byfield9:11
xG 0.26–0.38 (40%)attempts 10–5goals 2–0
Defence pairs
- bestGavrikov – Roy12:08
xG 0.57–0.21 (73%)attempts 15–10goals 3–0
- Doughty – Anderson14:20
xG 0.64–0.55 (54%)attempts 15–9goals 1–0
- Englund – Spence10:32
xG 0.39–0.38 (51%)attempts 12–14goals 0–0
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestCates – Farabee – Brink4:06
xG 0.15–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Tippett – Frost – Foerster4:39
xG 0.13–0.18 (41%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Atkinson – Tippett – Cates2:16
xG 0.12–0.17 (40%)attempts 1–4goals 0–2
- Deslauriers – Hathaway – Poehling6:12
xG 0.00–0.07 (0%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSeeler – Walker12:16
xG 0.30–0.12 (71%)attempts 8–10goals 0–0
- Sanheim – Walker4:07
xG 0.11–0.01 (88%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Sanheim – Zamula4:26
xG 0.12–0.16 (42%)attempts 3–6goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHI is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHI − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).