Wed, Nov 22, 2023·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Chicago Blackhawks 3, Columbus Blue Jackets 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 52% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 19 | 011 | 216 | 336 |
| CBJ | 39 | 412 | 05 | 726 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:57CBJBoone JennerAssists: Zach Werenski, Adam Boqvist · Wrap-around, 0.05 xG0–1
- P1 6:46CBJErik GudbransonAssists: Kirill Marchenko · Slap, 0.05 xG0–2
- P1 13:55CBJBoone JennerPPAssists: Johnny Gaudreau, Zach Werenski · Backhand, 0.17 xG0–3
- P1 15:41CHIConnor BedardAssists: Philipp Kurashev, Isaak Phillips · Snap, 0.11 xG1–3
- P2 7:32CBJCole SillingerGWGAssists: Zach Werenski, Egor Chinakhov · Tip-in, 0.10 xG1–4
- P2 12:16CBJDmitri VoronkovAssists: Cole Sillinger, Zach Werenski · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–5
- P2 16:28CBJKirill MarchenkoAssists: Adam Boqvist, Ivan Provorov · Deflected, 0.10 xG1–6
- P2 18:40CBJPatrik LaineAssists: Adam Fantilli · Backhand, 0.11 xG1–7
- P3 6:06CHIJason DickinsonUnassisted · Backhand, 0.08 xG2–7
- P3 18:41CHIReese JohnsonAssists: MacKenzie Entwistle · Wrist, 0.14 xG3–7
Penalties (7)
- P1 7:21CHITaylor Raddysh: Hooking2 min
- P1 8:15CBJZach Werenski: Slashing2 min
- P1 12:23CHISeth Jones: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P2 13:53CBJMathieu Olivier: Interference2 min
- P3 1:03CBJPatrik Laine: Hooking2 min
- P3 7:22CBJDavid Jiricek: Holding2 min
- P3 9:55CHIAlex Vlasic: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Jenner won the faceoff against Johnson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestKurashev – Reichel – Bedard12:29
xG 0.60–0.43 (58%)attempts 17–12goals 0–2
- Dickinson – Donato – Katchouk3:59
xG 0.26–0.10 (72%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
- Donato – Entwistle – Johnson4:46
xG 0.34–0.20 (63%)attempts 7–5goals 1–2
- Foligno – Johnson – Raddysh11:49
xG 0.33–0.22 (61%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJones – Vlasic8:33
xG 0.32–0.13 (71%)attempts 6–6goals 0–2
- Jones – Korchinski5:08
xG 0.18–0.02 (89%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Zaitsev – Korchinski3:30
xG 0.17–0.16 (51%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestOlivier – Chinakhov – Sillinger8:10
xG 0.62–0.36 (63%)attempts 9–9goals 1–2
- Kuraly – Danforth – Robinson8:46
xG 0.40–0.41 (49%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
- Gaudreau – Jenner – Marchenko11:18
xG 0.44–0.49 (47%)attempts 7–11goals 3–0
- Laine – Voronkov – Fantilli9:09
xG 0.18–0.33 (35%)attempts 7–8goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestWerenski – Boqvist12:35
xG 0.63–0.46 (58%)attempts 18–13goals 3–0
- Gudbranson – Provorov2:35
xG 0.20–0.21 (49%)attempts 3–4goals 0–1
- Provorov – Jiricek14:09
xG 0.47–0.59 (45%)attempts 7–15goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 52% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).