Fri, Nov 24, 2023·Prudential Center, Newark
Columbus Blue Jackets 2, New Jersey Devils 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 58% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 211 | 08 | 09 | 228 |
| NJD | 16 | 012 | 020 | 138 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:04CBJBoone JennerAssists: Johnny Gaudreau · Snap, 0.31 xG1–0
- P1 13:15NJDAlexander HoltzAssists: Ondrej Palat · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–1
- P1 19:23CBJEric RobinsonGWGAssists: Justin Danforth, Erik Gudbranson · Wrist, 0.14 xG2–1
Penalties (4)
- P1 14:23NJDAlexander Holtz: High sticking double minor4 min
- P2 12:58CBJDmitri Voronkov: Hooking2 min
- P3 3:26CBJDavid Jiricek: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 13:15NJDJonas Siegenthaler: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Haula won the faceoff against Jenner
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestGaudreau – Jenner – Marchenko14:10
xG 0.82–0.56 (59%)attempts 12–22goals 1–0
- Kuraly – Danforth – Robinson9:23
xG 0.31–0.11 (74%)attempts 9–12goals 1–0
- Laine – Voronkov – Fantilli7:26
xG 0.28–0.12 (71%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
- Olivier – Chinakhov – Sillinger6:33
xG 0.10–0.34 (22%)attempts 3–12goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestWerenski – Boqvist12:57
xG 0.75–0.44 (63%)attempts 14–15goals 1–0
- Provorov – Jiricek9:36
xG 0.49–0.18 (73%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
- Gudbranson – Werenski2:09
xG 0.14–0.08 (64%)attempts 1–4goals 1–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestPalat – McLeod – Holtz2:55
xG 0.10–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–1goals 1–0
- Toffoli – Bratt – Hughes14:22
xG 0.55–0.49 (53%)attempts 16–14goals 0–1
- Bastian – McLeod – Mercer3:03
xG 0.01–0.05 (21%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Haula – Palat – Holtz6:26
xG 0.20–0.25 (45%)attempts 6–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMarino – Bahl8:27
xG 0.40–0.13 (76%)attempts 12–3goals 0–0
- Siegenthaler – Marino2:19
xG 0.10–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Miller – Hughes11:42
xG 0.50–0.45 (53%)attempts 17–15goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 58% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).