Sat, Nov 25, 2023·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Vancouver Canucks 3, San Jose Sharks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 76% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 19 | 110 | 114 | 333 |
| SJS | 110 | 15 | 27 | 422 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:58SJSTy EmbersonAssists: Tomas Hertl, Mike Hoffman · Slap, 0.01 xG0–1
- P1 15:37VANFilip HronekPPAssists: J.T. Miller, Quinn Hughes · Slap, 0.10 xG1–1
- P2 14:05SJSFabian ZetterlundAssists: Tomas Hertl · Slap, 0.11 xG1–2
- P2 19:39VANBrock BoeserPPAssists: J.T. Miller, Filip Hronek · Wrist, 0.22 xG2–2
- P3 0:22SJSMikael GranlundAssists: Calen Addison, Mario Ferraro · Wrist, 0.26 xG2–3
- P3 1:48SJSMike HoffmanPPGWGAssists: Mikael Granlund, Calen Addison · Backhand, 0.30 xG2–4
- P3 16:49VANBrock BoeserAssists: J.T. Miller, Elias Pettersson · Wrist, 0.09 xG3–4
Penalties (11)
- P1 14:35SJSKyle Burroughs: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 11:40SJSMarc-Edouard Vlasic: Tripping2 min
- P2 18:58SJSTomas Hertl: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 19:58SJSTomas Hertl: Roughing2 min
- P2 19:58VANDakota Joshua: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P3 1:00VANTyler Myers: High sticking2 min
- P3 5:40SJSMatt Benning: Cross checking2 min
- P3 5:40VANSam Lafferty: Roughing2 min
- P3 5:40SJSMatt Benning: Roughing2 min
- P3 5:40SJSCalen Addison: Misconduct10 min
- P3 5:40VANMark Friedman: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Blueger won the faceoff against Sturm
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestMiller – Boeser – Hoglander2:09
xG 0.43–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Di Giuseppe – Hoglander – Aman7:40
xG 0.55–0.25 (68%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- Lafferty – Pettersson – Mikheyev11:45
xG 0.37–0.10 (79%)attempts 11–5goals 0–0
- Blueger – Joshua – Garland10:00
xG 0.40–0.18 (69%)attempts 7–9goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestHronek – Hughes17:20
xG 1.17–0.16 (88%)attempts 22–8goals 0–0
- Cole – Juulsen11:41
xG 0.68–0.13 (84%)attempts 11–11goals 0–0
- Cole – Myers5:15
xG 0.41–0.18 (69%)attempts 7–7goals 0–1
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestCarpenter – Labanc – Smith5:32
xG 0.40–0.30 (57%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
- Granlund – Duclair – Zetterlund11:00
xG 0.20–0.20 (50%)attempts 8–9goals 0–0
- Hertl – Duclair – Zetterlund3:10
xG 0.11–0.46 (19%)attempts 3–4goals 1–0
- Hoffman – Hertl – Eklund12:04
xG 0.27–0.88 (24%)attempts 13–12goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestVlasic – Burroughs11:35
xG 0.54–0.24 (69%)attempts 10–12goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Benning2:10
xG 0.00–0.05 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
- Burroughs – Emberson2:03
xG 0.05–0.37 (12%)attempts 1–5goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 76% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).