Mon, Nov 27, 2023·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Boston Bruins 2, Columbus Blue Jackets 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 52% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 011 | 09 | 213 | 233 |
| CBJ | 113 | 219 | 28 | 540 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 15:52CBJDmitri VoronkovAssists: Egor Chinakhov · Wrist, 0.08 xG0–1
- P2 5:38CBJIvan ProvorovAssists: David Jiricek, Cole Sillinger · Wrist, 0.03 xG0–2
- P2 16:42CBJEgor ChinakhovGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.12 xG0–3
- P3 4:51CBJKirill MarchenkoPPAssists: Boone Jenner, Patrik Laine · Wrist, 0.17 xG0–4
- P3 8:24BOSMatthew PoitrasAssists: Charlie McAvoy, Danton Heinen · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–4
- P3 13:41CBJJustin DanforthENAssists: Sean Kuraly, Boone Jenner · Wrist, 0.74 xG1–5
- P3 17:40BOSJohn BeecherAssists: Kevin Shattenkirk, Trent Frederic · Deflected, 0.08 xG2–5
Penalties (7)
- P1 1:23CBJPatrik Laine: Hooking2 min
- P1 18:57BOSDerek Forbort: Interference2 min
- P2 9:15BOSDanton Heinen: Hooking2 min
- P2 12:49CBJDmitri Voronkov: Interference2 min
- P3 3:41BOSJakub Lauko: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 4:09BOSHampus Lindholm: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 9:21BOSHampus Lindholm: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Coyle won the faceoff against Kuraly
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestvan Riemsdyk – Coyle – Frederic5:21
xG 0.85–0.21 (80%)attempts 14–6goals 0–0
- Heinen – DeBrusk – Poitras4:21
xG 0.26–0.06 (82%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
- Frederic – Lauko – Beecher3:14
xG 0.13–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 1–0
- Pastrnak – DeBrusk – Poitras2:48
xG 0.16–0.07 (69%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGrzelcyk – McAvoy10:50
xG 1.06–0.57 (65%)attempts 16–14goals 0–1
- Lindholm – Carlo7:51
xG 0.47–0.18 (72%)attempts 12–8goals 0–0
- Lindholm – McAvoy3:33
xG 0.34–0.06 (85%)attempts 5–1goals 1–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestVoronkov – Chinakhov – Sillinger8:06
xG 0.50–0.40 (56%)attempts 10–11goals 3–0
- Gaudreau – Jenner – Marchenko11:00
xG 0.55–0.62 (47%)attempts 13–16goals 0–1
- Laine – Voronkov – Fantilli2:11
xG 0.00–0.08 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
- Kuraly – Danforth – Robinson10:17
xG 0.47–0.70 (40%)attempts 16–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestProvorov – Jiricek12:27
xG 0.62–0.32 (66%)attempts 15–10goals 1–1
- Gudbranson – Provorov2:24
xG 0.04–0.04 (50%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Provorov – Boqvist2:05
xG 0.16–0.20 (44%)attempts 3–6goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 52% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).