Tue, Nov 28, 2023·United Center, Chicago
Seattle Kraken 3, Chicago Blackhawks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 54% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 214 | 010 | 112 | 336 |
| CHI | 210 | 210 | 03 | 423 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:54CHIBoris KatchoukAssists: Ryan Donato, Seth Jones · Wrist, 0.19 xG0–1
- P1 10:23CHIJason DickinsonAssists: Isaak Phillips, Joey Anderson · Wrist, 0.03 xG0–2
- P1 14:43SEAMatty BeniersAssists: Jared McCann · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–2
- P1 19:23SEAAlexander WennbergSHAssists: Adam Larsson, Philipp Grubauer · Wrist, 0.10 xG2–2
- P2 4:22CHITyler JohnsonAssists: Taylor Raddysh, Lukas Reichel · Snap, 0.13 xG2–3
- P2 10:43CHIMacKenzie EntwistleGWGAssists: Joey Anderson · Snap, 0.17 xG2–4
- P3 6:51SEATye KartyeAssists: Matty Beniers · Snap, 0.07 xG3–4
Penalties (12)
- P1 5:13CHISeth Jones: Interference2 min
- P1 12:16CHIConnor Murphy: Tripping2 min
- P1 16:33CHIWyatt Kaiser: Tripping2 min
- P1 17:43SEAJared McCann: Hooking2 min
- P2 16:05SEAMatty Beniers: Tripping2 min
- P2 18:11CHINick Foligno: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 18:11SEAYanni Gourde: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 18:11CHIRyan Donato: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 18:11SEAPhilipp Grubauer: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 8:33SEAJustin Schultz: Slashing2 min
- P3 13:14CHILukas Reichel: Slashing2 min
- P3 14:11CHIBoris Katchouk: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Johnson won the faceoff against Gourde
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestEberle – Kartye – Beniers5:03
xG 0.58–0.00 (100%)attempts 9–3goals 1–0
- Schwartz – Wennberg – Yamamoto2:01
xG 0.14–0.03 (84%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Bellemare – Yamamoto – Kartye3:30
xG 0.15–0.09 (63%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- Bjorkstrand – Wennberg – Tolvanen2:47
xG 0.05–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestOleksiak – Borgen10:11
xG 0.74–0.32 (70%)attempts 13–9goals 1–1
- Larsson – Dunn15:01
xG 0.59–0.24 (71%)attempts 19–8goals 1–0
- Schultz – Dumoulin9:03
xG 0.38–0.36 (51%)attempts 11–6goals 0–1
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestDickinson – Anderson – Entwistle9:59
xG 0.52–0.02 (95%)attempts 13–4goals 2–0
- Donato – Katchouk – Johnson7:06
xG 0.22–0.15 (59%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
- Johnson – Raddysh – Reichel8:56
xG 0.26–0.25 (51%)attempts 6–10goals 1–0
- Foligno – Kurashev – Bedard8:03
xG 0.09–0.36 (21%)attempts 4–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJones – Vlasic10:23
xG 0.91–0.23 (80%)attempts 11–12goals 3–0
- Murphy – Vlasic4:20
xG 0.00–0.04 (0%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
- Jones – Korchinski2:25
xG 0.02–0.08 (22%)attempts 3–5goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 54% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).