Thu, Nov 30, 2023·TD Garden, Boston
San Jose Sharks 0, Boston Bruins 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 72% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 09 | 06 | 011 | 026 |
| BOS | 010 | 218 | 19 | 337 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 1:39BOSDanton HeinenGWGAssists: Matthew Poitras · Wrist, 0.09 xG0–1
- P2 8:10BOSJake DeBruskAssists: Pavel Zacha, David Pastrnak · Backhand, 0.15 xG0–2
- P3 6:37BOSPavel ZachaPPAssists: David Pastrnak, Charlie McAvoy · Backhand, 0.17 xG0–3
Penalties (15)
- P1 9:48SJSWilliam Eklund: Hooking2 min
- P1 15:21BOSJakub Lauko: Tripping2 min
- P2 2:48SJSNikita Okhotiuk: Hooking2 min
- P2 3:39BOSBrad Marchand: Hooking2 min
- P2 13:57SJSKyle Burroughs: High sticking2 min
- P2 13:57BOSDerek Forbort: Roughing2 min
- P2 13:57SJSGivani Smith: Boarding2 min
- P2 16:40BOSMatt Grzelcyk: Interference2 min
- P2 19:06SJSGivani Smith: Fighting5 min
- P2 19:06BOSTrent Frederic: Fighting5 min
- P2 19:34BOSCharlie McAvoy: Boarding2 min
- P2 19:34BOSBrad Marchand: Roughing2 min
- P2 19:34SJSFabian Zetterlund: Fighting5 min
- P2 19:34BOSBrad Marchand: Fighting5 min
- P3 5:43SJSMatt Benning: Slashing2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zacha won the faceoff against Granlund
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- Granlund – Hertl – Zetterlund3:20
xG 0.04–0.14 (22%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Granlund – Duclair – Zetterlund7:23
xG 0.46–0.67 (41%)attempts 12–12goals 0–0
- Hoffman – Hertl – Eklund6:15
xG 0.06–0.29 (18%)attempts 3–4goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- Burroughs – Okhotiuk8:27
xG 0.34–0.38 (47%)attempts 7–11goals 0–0
- Ferraro – Emberson8:52
xG 0.34–0.56 (37%)attempts 10–9goals 0–0
- Benning – Addison6:57
xG 0.14–0.52 (22%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestPastrnak – Zacha – DeBrusk7:07
xG 0.52–0.20 (72%)attempts 10–4goals 1–0
- Marchand – Heinen – Poitras8:13
xG 0.32–0.08 (79%)attempts 7–10goals 1–0
- van Riemsdyk – Coyle – Frederic8:13
xG 0.42–0.29 (59%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
- Geekie – Lauko – Beecher7:09
xG 0.14–0.18 (44%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestShattenkirk – Forbort7:33
xG 0.65–0.03 (96%)attempts 13–4goals 0–0
- Lindholm – McAvoy12:36
xG 0.59–0.17 (77%)attempts 15–6goals 1–0
- Grzelcyk – Carlo8:21
xG 0.62–0.43 (59%)attempts 8–13goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 72% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).