Thu, Nov 30, 2023·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Vegas Golden Knights 4, Vancouver Canucks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGK | 213 | 116 | 115 | 444 |
| VAN | 08 | 08 | 16 | 122 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:46VGKIvan BarbashevAssists: Jack Eichel, Mark Stone · Backhand, 0.12 xG1–0
- P1 16:18VGKJack EichelGWGAssists: Ivan Barbashev, Nicolas Hague · Snap, 0.21 xG2–0
- P2 11:27VGKWilliam KarlssonPPAssists: Jack Eichel, Alex Pietrangelo · Wrist, 0.07 xG3–0
- P3 0:16VGKBrett HowdenAssists: Alex Pietrangelo, Michael Amadio · Deflected, 0.07 xG4–0
- P3 4:01VANAndrei KuzmenkoAssists: J.T. Miller, Brock Boeser · Wrist, 0.10 xG4–1
Penalties (6)
- P1 6:17VGKBrett Howden: Tripping2 min
- P1 10:55VANDakota Joshua: Tripping2 min
- P1 11:54VGKMark Stone: Hooking2 min
- P1 18:48VGKZach Whitecloud: Hooking2 min
- P2 11:09VANTyler Myers: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 14:58VANIan Cole: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Roy won the faceoff against Blueger
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vegas Golden Knights
Forward lines
- bestCarrier – Kolesar – Roy11:17
xG 0.89–0.25 (78%)attempts 14–6goals 0–0
- Stone – Barbashev – Eichel8:12
xG 0.38–0.07 (84%)attempts 13–5goals 2–0
- Stephenson – Amadio – Howden9:49
xG 0.39–0.44 (47%)attempts 14–12goals 1–0
- Karlsson – Marchessault – Cotter11:38
xG 0.11–0.48 (19%)attempts 7–14goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestPietrangelo – Hutton14:17
xG 0.66–0.34 (66%)attempts 14–5goals 1–1
- McNabb – Korczak13:00
xG 0.36–0.54 (40%)attempts 14–17goals 0–0
- Hague – Whitecloud17:02
xG 0.72–0.91 (44%)attempts 17–15goals 1–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestBlueger – Joshua – Garland9:41
xG 0.54–0.36 (60%)attempts 14–10goals 0–1
- Miller – Boeser – Kuzmenko4:58
xG 0.18–0.08 (68%)attempts 3–5goals 1–0
- Di Giuseppe – Mikheyev – Aman2:33
xG 0.06–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Lafferty – Hoglander – Aman3:02
xG 0.00–0.00 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMyers – Friedman9:33
xG 0.55–0.26 (68%)attempts 12–5goals 1–0
- Myers – Hughes3:57
xG 0.25–0.07 (78%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Cole – Juulsen10:29
xG 0.31–0.42 (43%)attempts 5–14goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it VGK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − VGK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).