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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 2, 2023·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

New York Rangers 4, Nashville Predators 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 75% of the time.

NSH winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:48Shot by Sissons, saved by Shesterkin
  3. P1 2:23Shot by Brodzinski, saved by Lankinen
  4. P1 2:33Shot by Foudy, saved by Shesterkin
  5. P1 2:35Shot by Foudy, saved by Shesterkin
  6. P1 2:40Shot by Tomasino, saved by Shesterkin
  7. P1 3:58Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Lankinen
  8. P1 4:32Shot by Trouba, saved by Lankinen
  9. P1 5:08Shot by McDonagh, saved by Shesterkin
  10. P1 6:19Goal by O'Reilly (Foudy, Tomasino)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NSH O'Reilly, Lauzon, Fabbro, Foudy, Tomasino · NYR Wheeler, Zibanejad, Fox, Miller, Cuylle

  11. P1 7:49Shot by Josi, saved by Shesterkin
  12. P1 9:21Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Lankinen
  13. P1 9:34Shot by Bonino, saved by Lankinen
  14. P1 11:22Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Shesterkin
  15. P1 11:24Shot by Tomasino, saved by Shesterkin
  16. P1 11:26Shot by Josi, saved by Shesterkin
  17. P1 11:27Shot by Tomasino, saved by Shesterkin
  18. P1 11:28Shot by Tomasino, saved by Shesterkin
  19. P1 12:46Shot by Lindgren, saved by Lankinen
  20. P1 12:50Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Lankinen
  21. P1 14:13Shot by Stastney, saved by Shesterkin6v5
  22. P1 14:15Goodrow: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NSH Schenn, Forsberg, McCarron, Foudy, Stastney, Tomasino · NYR Pitlick, Goodrow, Vesey, Gustafsson, Schneider

  23. P1 15:12Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  24. P1 15:13Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  25. P1 15:52Goal by Josi (Nyquist, O'Reilly)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Sissons · NYR Bonino, Trouba, Vesey, Fox

  26. P1 16:15Shot by Smith, saved by Shesterkin
  27. P1 19:31Shot by McDonagh, saved by Shesterkin
  28. P1 19:57Shot by Goodrow, saved by Lankinen
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 0:31Goal by Trouba (Trocheck, Brodzinski)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Sissons, Lauzon, Trenin, Fabbro, Smith · NYR Kreider, Trocheck, Trouba, Brodzinski, Miller

  32. P2 1:40Shot by Schenn, saved by Shesterkin
  33. P2 1:56Shot by Wheeler, saved by Lankinen
  34. P2 2:42Lindgren: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NSH Josi, Nyquist, Forsberg, Sissons, Lauzon, Tomasino · NYR Zibanejad, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren, Lafrenière

  35. P2 5:15Shot by McDonagh, saved by Shesterkin
  36. P2 5:49Shot by Panarin, saved by Lankinen
  37. P2 6:50Evangelista: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Sissons, Foudy, Stastney, Tomasino · NYR Bonino, Pitlick, Gustafsson, Fox, Cuylle

  38. P2 7:28Goal by Sissons (Trenin)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Sissons, Lauzon, Trenin · NYR Kreider, Trocheck, Zibanejad, Panarin, Fox

  39. P2 8:34Shot by Panarin, saved by Lankinen4v5
  40. P2 8:49Shot by Trocheck, saved by Lankinen4v5
  41. P2 8:51Shot by Kreider, saved by Lankinen
  42. P2 8:52Goal by Kreider (Trocheck, Fox)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Lauzon, Evangelista · NYR Kreider, Trocheck, Zibanejad, Panarin, Fox

  43. P2 9:03Parssinen: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Forsberg, Fabbro, Parssinen, Evangelista · NYR Bonino, Pitlick, Trouba, Miller, Cuylle

  44. P2 9:11Goal by Trocheck (Zibanejad, Fox)4v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, O'Reilly, Lauzon, Trenin · NYR Kreider, Trocheck, Zibanejad, Panarin, Fox

  45. P2 13:42Lindgren: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Josi, McCarron, Sherwood, Evangelista · NYR Zibanejad, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren, Lafrenière

  46. P2 14:22Shot by Sissons, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  47. P2 14:22Shot by Forsberg, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  48. P2 17:05Shot by Cuylle, saved by Lankinen
  49. P2 17:46Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Shesterkin
  50. P2 17:51Shot by Forsberg, saved by Shesterkin
  51. P2 18:47Shot by McDonagh, saved by Shesterkin
  52. P2 18:52Shot by Lauzon, saved by Shesterkin
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 1:43Shot by Sherwood, saved by Shesterkin
  56. P3 2:24Cuylle: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH McCarron, Lauzon, Fabbro, Foudy, Tomasino · NYR Bonino, Pitlick, Fox, Lindgren, Cuylle

  57. P3 3:22Shot by Josi, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  58. P3 4:27Shot by Tomasino, saved by Shesterkin
  59. P3 5:00Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Lankinen
  60. P3 5:10Goal by Lindgren (Fox, Brodzinski)+28 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Sissons, Lauzon, Trenin, Fabbro, Smith · NYR Kreider, Trocheck, Brodzinski, Fox, Lindgren

  61. P3 5:23Shot by Trocheck, saved by Lankinen
  62. P3 6:20Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Shesterkin
  63. P3 9:39Shot by Evangelista, saved by Shesterkin
  64. P3 11:47Shot by Panarin, saved by Lankinen
  65. P3 11:56Shot by Josi, saved by Shesterkin
  66. P3 12:31Shot by Forsberg, saved by Shesterkin
  67. P3 12:46Shot by Josi, saved by Shesterkin
  68. P3 13:11Shot by Vesey, saved by Lankinen
  69. P3 13:49Shot by Schneider, saved by Lankinen
  70. P3 15:14Shot by Miller, saved by Lankinen
  71. P3 15:26Shot by Brodzinski, saved by Lankinen
  72. P3 16:11Shot by McDonagh, saved by Shesterkin
  73. P3 16:26Shot by Sissons, saved by Shesterkin
  74. P3 16:33Shot by Nyquist, saved by Shesterkin
  75. P3 17:58Shot by Sherwood, saved by Shesterkin
  76. P3 19:06Shot by Nyquist, saved by Shesterkin6v5
  77. P3 0:00Period end
  78. P3 0:00Final