Sun, Dec 3, 2023·TD Garden, Boston
Columbus Blue Jackets 1, Boston Bruins 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 08 | 18 | 09 | 125 |
| BOS | 06 | 016 | 36 | 328 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 19:25CBJBoone JennerAssists: Mathieu Olivier, Zach Werenski · Wrist, 0.16 xG1–0
- P3 1:56BOSBrad MarchandAssists: Danton Heinen, Charlie Coyle · Snap, 0.11 xG1–1
- P3 5:37BOSBrad MarchandPPGWGAssists: Charlie McAvoy, James van Riemsdyk · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–2
- P3 7:46BOSBrad MarchandPPAssists: Pavel Zacha, Charlie McAvoy · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–3
Penalties (10)
- P1 5:52CBJMathieu Olivier: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P1 13:45CBJDavid Jiricek: Tripping2 min
- P2 2:56CBJAlexandre Texier: Slashing2 min
- P2 7:16BOSDavid Pastrnak: High sticking2 min
- P2 15:31BOSHampus Lindholm: Hooking2 min
- P3 4:43CBJDmitri Voronkov: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 7:09CBJJohnny Gaudreau: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 8:46BOSJohn Beecher: Tripping2 min
- P3 16:13CBJDavid Jiricek: Hooking2 min
- P3 17:29BOSJames van Riemsdyk: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zacha won the faceoff against Voronkov
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestMarchenko – Voronkov – Chinakhov9:52
xG 0.20–0.04 (82%)attempts 8–2goals 0–0
- Kuraly – Olivier – Texier7:37
xG 0.23–0.18 (55%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
- Laine – Danforth – Fantilli5:53
xG 0.18–0.21 (46%)attempts 4–8goals 0–0
- Gaudreau – Jenner – Johnson7:37
xG 0.31–0.46 (40%)attempts 9–13goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestWerenski – Boqvist18:52
xG 1.10–0.77 (59%)attempts 23–21goals 1–1
- Provorov – Jiricek9:18
xG 0.62–0.39 (62%)attempts 14–12goals 0–0
- Gudbranson – Bean9:27
xG 0.07–0.13 (35%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestvan Riemsdyk – Frederic – Poitras5:18
xG 0.39–0.05 (88%)attempts 10–2goals 0–0
- van Riemsdyk – Frederic – Geekie2:24
xG 0.30–0.07 (82%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Pastrnak – Zacha – DeBrusk7:36
xG 0.33–0.18 (64%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Geekie – Lauko – Beecher4:30
xG 0.05–0.03 (61%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGrzelcyk – McAvoy9:26
xG 0.56–0.07 (89%)attempts 16–3goals 0–0
- Forbort – Carlo3:23
xG 0.45–0.09 (84%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- Shattenkirk – Forbort7:49
xG 0.15–0.14 (51%)attempts 7–6goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).