Tue, Dec 5, 2023·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Los Angeles Kings 4, Columbus Blue Jackets 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 67% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 09 | 014 | 315 | 11 | 439 |
| CBJ | 19 | 213 | 07 | 00 | 329 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:07CBJKirill MarchenkoPPAssists: Adam Boqvist, Johnny Gaudreau · Snap, 0.12 xG0–1
- P2 5:24CBJJohnny GaudreauUnassisted · Snap, 0.12 xG0–2
- P2 13:03CBJMathieu OlivierAssists: David Jiricek, Adam Fantilli · Wrist, 0.15 xG0–3
- P3 0:23LAKPhillip DanaultAssists: Matt Roy, Trevor Moore · Tip-in, 0.06 xG1–3
- P3 5:08LAKPhillip DanaultAssists: Vladislav Gavrikov, Kevin Fiala · Poke, 0.12 xG2–3
- P3 6:38LAKArthur KaliyevAssists: Jaret Anderson-Dolan, Vladislav Gavrikov · Snap, 0.32 xG3–3
- OT 0:33LAKDrew DoughtyGWGAssists: Anze Kopitar, Adrian Kempe · Slap, 0.06 xG4–3
Penalties (3)
- P1 8:14LAKQuinton Byfield: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P1 16:51CBJDmitri Voronkov: Interference2 min
- P2 7:45CBJAlexandre Texier: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kuraly won the faceoff against Dubois
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestKopitar – Kempe – Byfield13:55
xG 0.86–0.44 (66%)attempts 16–9goals 0–1
- Danault – Fiala – Moore12:27
xG 0.68–0.58 (54%)attempts 16–11goals 2–0
- Lewis – Anderson-Dolan – Kaliyev7:41
xG 0.81–0.72 (53%)attempts 9–16goals 1–1
- Grundstrom – Dubois – Laferriere13:28
xG 0.72–0.67 (52%)attempts 16–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Anderson18:34
xG 1.44–0.96 (60%)attempts 29–17goals 0–0
- Gavrikov – Roy19:12
xG 1.22–0.88 (58%)attempts 25–19goals 3–1
- Englund – Spence13:29
xG 0.30–0.78 (28%)attempts 8–17goals 0–1
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestGaudreau – Jenner – Danforth13:49
xG 0.64–0.25 (72%)attempts 15–13goals 0–1
- Olivier – Johnson – Fantilli4:38
xG 0.46–0.10 (82%)attempts 8–6goals 1–0
- Kuraly – Texier – Robinson8:57
xG 0.82–0.62 (57%)attempts 16–10goals 0–1
- Texier – Johnson – Fantilli2:32
xG 0.04–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestWerenski – Boqvist21:38
xG 1.76–1.11 (61%)attempts 29–27goals 1–0
- Bean – Jiricek9:13
xG 0.57–0.53 (52%)attempts 9–12goals 1–1
- Provorov – Peeke19:10
xG 0.22–0.94 (19%)attempts 13–21goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 67% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).