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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 5, 2023·Ball Arena, Denver

Anaheim Ducks 2, Colorado Avalanche 3

Away

Anaheim Ducks

2

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 75% of the time.

COL winsANA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:02Shot by Carlsson, saved by Georgiev
  3. P1 1:40Goal by MacDermid (MacKinnon)+16 pts WP

    On ice: COL Johnson, Tatar, MacDermid, MacKinnon, Jones · ANA Jones, Groulx, Lyubushkin, Mintyukov, Carlsson

  4. P1 4:34Shot by Manson, saved by Gibson
  5. P1 5:01Shot by Lyubushkin, saved by Georgiev
  6. P1 5:26Shot by Wood, saved by Gibson
  7. P1 6:20Shot by Luneau, saved by Georgiev
  8. P1 6:22Shot by Carrick, saved by Georgiev
  9. P1 7:36Shot by Gudas, saved by Georgiev
  10. P1 7:51Shot by Terry, saved by Georgiev
  11. P1 8:46Shot by Groulx, saved by Georgiev
  12. P1 8:51Shot by LaCombe, saved by Georgiev
  13. P1 8:53Shot by Jones, saved by Georgiev
  14. P1 9:07Shot by Malinski, saved by Gibson
  15. P1 9:55Shot by Kiviranta, saved by Gibson
  16. P1 11:10Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Gibson
  17. P1 13:18Lyubushkin: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Manson, MacKinnon, Drouin, Toews, O'Connor · ANA Carrick, Vatrano, Lyubushkin, Leason, Mintyukov

  18. P1 13:44Shot by Gudas, saved by Georgiev5v4
  19. P1 14:08Shot by Drouin, saved by Gibson5v4
  20. P1 14:22Shot by Rantanen, saved by Gibson5v4
  21. P1 17:35Shot by O'Connor, saved by Gibson
  22. P1 18:05Shot by Vatrano, saved by Georgiev
  23. P1 19:20Shot by Carrick, saved by Georgiev
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:38Shot by Silfverberg, saved by Georgiev
  27. P2 0:57Shot by Killorn, saved by Georgiev
  28. P2 1:46Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Gibson
  29. P2 1:57Shot by Johnson, saved by Gibson
  30. P2 4:35Shot by Olausson, saved by Gibson
  31. P2 4:58Shot by Manson, saved by Gibson
  32. P2 6:51Shot by McGinn, saved by Georgiev
  33. P2 7:04Shot by Carlsson, saved by Georgiev
  34. P2 8:36Shot by O'Connor, saved by Gibson
  35. P2 9:46Shot by Leason, saved by Georgiev
  36. P2 10:10Shot by Strome, saved by Georgiev
  37. P2 11:34O'Connor: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Drouin, O'Connor, Byram, Malinski · ANA Henrique, Fowler, Jones, Groulx, Luneau

  38. P2 15:25Shot by Strome, saved by Georgiev
  39. P2 16:25Shot by Johnson, saved by Gibson
  40. P2 16:37Shot by Olofsson, saved by Gibson
  41. P2 16:38Shot by Tatar, saved by Gibson
  42. P2 17:41Shot by Manson, saved by Gibson
  43. P2 17:43Goal by MacKinnon (Drouin, Manson)+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Tatar, Manson, MacKinnon, Drouin, Toews · ANA Henrique, McGinn, Groulx, LaCombe, Mintyukov

  44. P2 18:03Shot by Johnson, saved by Gibson
  45. P2 18:06Shot by Drouin, saved by Gibson
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 1:25Shot by Johnson, saved by Gibson
  49. P3 2:07Shot by Mintyukov, saved by Georgiev
  50. P3 2:20Shot by Leason, saved by Georgiev
  51. P3 3:25Shot by Luneau, saved by Georgiev
  52. P3 5:32Shot by Toews, saved by Gibson
  53. P3 6:18Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Gibson
  54. P3 6:20Shot by O'Connor, saved by Gibson
  55. P3 6:21Goal by O'Connor (MacKinnon, Drouin)+4 pts WP

    On ice: COL Manson, MacKinnon, Drouin, Jones, O'Connor · ANA Killorn, Fowler, Terry, Luneau, Carlsson

  56. P3 7:37Shot by Olausson, saved by Gibson
  57. P3 7:55Shot by Rantanen, saved by Gibson
  58. P3 8:45Shot by Carlsson, saved by Georgiev
  59. P3 9:45Shot by Luneau, saved by Georgiev
  60. P3 10:15Gudas: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Johnson, Johansen, Wood, Toews, Kiviranta · ANA Gudas, Strome, Vatrano, Groulx, LaCombe

  61. P3 10:43Goal by Carrick, unassisted5v4+2 pts WP

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Drouin, Toews, Rantanen, Colton · ANA Fowler, Carrick, Lyubushkin, Leason

  62. P3 12:48Shot by Carlsson, saved by Georgiev
  63. P3 13:11Olofsson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Johansen, MacDermid, Olofsson, Jones, Malinski · ANA Silfverberg, Fowler, Terry, Luneau, Carlsson

  64. P3 13:11MacDermid: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Johansen, MacDermid, Olofsson, Jones, Malinski · ANA Silfverberg, Fowler, Terry, Luneau, Carlsson

  65. P3 13:29Shot by Henrique, saved by Georgiev3v5
  66. P3 13:31Shot by Henrique, saved by Georgiev3v5
  67. P3 14:11Goal by Carlsson (Terry, Fowler)3v5+11 pts WP

    On ice: COL Manson, Toews, O'Connor · ANA Killorn, Henrique, Fowler, Terry, Carlsson

  68. P3 14:47Shot by Strome, saved by Georgiev4v5
  69. P3 16:07Shot by Killorn, saved by Georgiev
  70. P3 16:45Shot by Kiviranta, saved by Gibson
  71. P3 16:51Carlsson: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: COL Johnson, Tatar, Jones, Colton, Kiviranta · ANA Killorn, Strome, Groulx, Luneau, Mintyukov

  72. P3 17:23Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Gibson5v4
  73. P3 19:14Shot by Strome, saved by Georgiev5v6
  74. P3 19:51Shot by Vatrano, saved by Georgiev5v6
  75. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  76. P3 0:00Final5v6