Thu, Dec 7, 2023·Centre Bell, Montreal
Los Angeles Kings 4, Montréal Canadiens 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 211 | 115 | 116 | 442 |
| MTL | 013 | 07 | 04 | 024 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:13LAKDrew DoughtyGWGAssists: Quinton Byfield, Anze Kopitar · Wrist, 0.18 xG1–0
- P1 17:46LAKQuinton ByfieldAssists: Adrian Kempe, Anze Kopitar · Wrist, 0.22 xG2–0
- P2 18:15LAKQuinton ByfieldPPAssists: Anze Kopitar, Kevin Fiala · Snap, 0.31 xG3–0
- P3 7:58LAKTrevor MooreAssists: Kevin Fiala, Drew Doughty · Snap, 0.16 xG4–0
Penalties (8)
- P1 0:41LAKKevin Fiala: Hooking2 min
- P1 14:52LAKDrew Doughty: Boarding2 min
- P2 5:48MTLMichael Pezzetta: Roughing2 min
- P2 5:48LAKPierre-Luc Dubois: Slashing2 min
- P2 6:53LAKPhillip Danault: Hooking2 min
- P2 17:04MTLChristian Dvorak: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 17:10LAKAndreas Englund: Fighting5 min
- P3 17:10MTLMichael Pezzetta: Fighting5 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Danault won the faceoff against Suzuki
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestDanault – Fiala – Moore13:08
xG 0.80–0.15 (84%)attempts 16–8goals 1–0
- Grundstrom – Dubois – Laferriere11:55
xG 0.96–0.64 (60%)attempts 16–19goals 0–0
- Lewis – Lizotte – Kaliyev9:40
xG 0.39–0.19 (67%)attempts 11–7goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Byfield10:27
xG 0.53–0.36 (60%)attempts 9–9goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Anderson18:10
xG 0.79–0.35 (69%)attempts 16–14goals 1–0
- Gavrikov – Roy15:37
xG 0.82–0.45 (65%)attempts 17–18goals 0–0
- Englund – Spence11:03
xG 0.82–0.51 (62%)attempts 17–13goals 0–0
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- Gallagher – Pearson – Dvorak12:34
xG 0.22–0.25 (47%)attempts 8–10goals 0–0
- Suzuki – Caufield – Slafkovský13:11
xG 0.65–0.91 (42%)attempts 20–17goals 0–0
- Anderson – Monahan – Evans10:33
xG 0.36–0.79 (31%)attempts 10–14goals 0–1
- Stephens – Pezzetta – Ylonen7:02
xG 0.09–0.61 (13%)attempts 8–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMatheson – Lindstrom14:47
xG 0.79–0.56 (58%)attempts 20–17goals 0–0
- Kovacevic – Struble14:04
xG 0.22–0.92 (20%)attempts 10–16goals 0–0
- Guhle – Barron14:17
xG 0.17–1.14 (13%)attempts 10–19goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MTL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MTL is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MTL − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).