Thu, Dec 7, 2023·United Center, Chicago
Anaheim Ducks 0, Chicago Blackhawks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 54% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 010 | 018 | 09 | 037 |
| CHI | 014 | 110 | 01 | 125 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 9:21CHIPhilipp KurashevPPGWGAssists: Connor Bedard, Tyler Johnson · Wrist, 0.06 xG0–1
Penalties (6)
- P1 6:00CHINikita Zaitsev: Interference2 min
- P1 14:19ANASam Carrick: Holding2 min
- P1 16:27ANARadko Gudas: Tripping2 min
- P2 6:53ANATristan Luneau: High sticking double minor4 min · PPG
- P2 15:27CHIAlex Vlasic: Holding2 min
- P2 0:00CHIJason Dickinson: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dickinson won the faceoff against Carlsson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestStrome – Vatrano – Leason10:58
xG 0.72–0.24 (75%)attempts 18–6goals 0–0
- Henrique – Silfverberg – Groulx7:58
xG 0.31–0.12 (73%)attempts 10–2goals 0–0
- Killorn – Terry – Carlsson12:36
xG 0.45–0.47 (49%)attempts 14–10goals 0–0
- Carrick – McGinn – Johnston6:59
xG 0.12–0.27 (31%)attempts 6–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLyubushkin – Mintyukov10:22
xG 0.65–0.18 (78%)attempts 13–6goals 0–0
- Gudas – LaCombe8:58
xG 0.47–0.16 (74%)attempts 19–3goals 0–0
- Fowler – Luneau17:44
xG 0.71–0.56 (56%)attempts 19–16goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestFoligno – Dickinson – Anderson10:57
xG 0.42–0.34 (56%)attempts 9–10goals 0–0
- Beauvillier – Kurashev – Bedard10:19
xG 0.15–0.29 (34%)attempts 5–15goals 0–0
- Johnson – Raddysh – Guttman9:25
xG 0.16–0.35 (32%)attempts 8–10goals 0–0
- Donato – Entwistle – Reichel6:56
xG 0.08–0.67 (11%)attempts 3–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestVlasic – Crevier11:37
xG 0.64–0.27 (71%)attempts 12–8goals 0–0
- Murphy – Jones2:10
xG 0.00–0.00 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
- Jones – Korchinski11:26
xG 0.21–0.29 (43%)attempts 7–16goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 54% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).