Thu, Dec 7, 2023·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
New Jersey Devils 2, Seattle Kraken 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 78% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 17 | 17 | 03 | 217 |
| SEA | 010 | 112 | 016 | 138 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 17:14NJDOndrej PalatAssists: John Marino, Nico Hischier · Deflected, 0.09 xG1–0
- P2 7:12SEATye KartyeAssists: Alexander Wennberg, Andre Burakovsky · Wrist, 0.14 xG1–1
- P2 9:08NJDSimon NemecGWGAssists: Jesper Bratt, Jonas Siegenthaler · Snap, 0.17 xG2–1
Penalties (5)
- P1 10:29SEAVince Dunn: Holding2 min
- P2 11:18NJDErik Haula: Tripping2 min
- P2 11:24SEAKailer Yamamoto: Slashing2 min
- P3 8:43NJDBrendan Smith: Tripping2 min
- P3 15:36SEABrian Dumoulin: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Gourde won the faceoff against Hischier
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestPalat – Bratt – Hischier10:13
xG 0.26–0.13 (66%)attempts 8–9goals 1–0
- Haula – Toffoli – Hughes11:09
xG 0.50–0.58 (46%)attempts 16–13goals 0–0
- Meier – Mercer – Holtz9:54
xG 0.14–0.52 (21%)attempts 6–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Miller – Hughes10:44
xG 0.34–0.35 (49%)attempts 13–10goals 0–0
- Siegenthaler – Nemec11:08
xG 0.43–0.61 (41%)attempts 10–17goals 0–0
- Marino – Bahl13:39
xG 0.50–0.77 (39%)attempts 9–15goals 1–1
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestGourde – Bjorkstrand – Tolvanen10:46
xG 0.49–0.24 (67%)attempts 14–7goals 0–0
- Eberle – Kartye – Beniers9:23
xG 0.32–0.24 (57%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
- Shore – Tanev – Yamamoto2:42
xG 0.06–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Burakovsky – Wennberg – McCann7:36
xG 0.16–0.49 (24%)attempts 3–14goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestDumoulin – Evans15:26
xG 0.56–0.36 (61%)attempts 11–15goals 1–0
- Larsson – Dunn17:18
xG 0.84–0.69 (55%)attempts 26–11goals 0–2
- Oleksiak – Borgen11:05
xG 0.38–0.59 (39%)attempts 9–15goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SEA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SEA is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 78% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SEA − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).