Sat, Dec 9, 2023·United Center, Chicago
St. Louis Blues 1, Chicago Blackhawks 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 52% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 09 | 014 | 116 | 139 |
| CHI | 214 | 18 | 02 | 324 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:43CHIAnthony BeauvillierAssists: Nikita Zaitsev, Cole Guttman · Deflected, 0.11 xG0–1
- P1 9:20CHIAlex VlasicGWGAssists: Louis Crevier, MacKenzie Entwistle · Wrist, 0.00 xG0–2
- P2 14:53CHIJason DickinsonAssists: Nikita Zaitsev, Connor Murphy · Deflected, 0.10 xG0–3
- P3 16:31STLOskar SundqvistSHAssists: Nick Leddy · Wrist, 0.12 xG1–3
Penalties (8)
- P1 0:36CHIAlex Vlasic: Holding2 min
- P1 1:59STLRobert Thomas: Slashing2 min
- P1 18:44CHIReese Johnson: Fighting5 min
- P1 18:44STLBrayden Schenn: Fighting5 min
- P2 16:54CHIMacKenzie Entwistle: Tripping2 min
- P3 1:37CHIConnor Murphy: Holding2 min
- P3 5:47STLJakub Vrana: Hooking2 min
- P3 16:17STLRobert Thomas: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Thomas won the faceoff against Dickinson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestBuchnevich – Thomas – Neighbours13:11
xG 1.41–0.66 (68%)attempts 25–12goals 0–0
- Hayes – Saad – Kyrou7:09
xG 0.58–0.39 (59%)attempts 15–5goals 0–0
- Sundqvist – Toropchenko – McGing4:58
xG 0.31–0.28 (53%)attempts 9–4goals 0–1
- Sundqvist – Kapanen – Toropchenko2:04
xG 0.00–0.06 (6%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Faulk – Krug14:06
xG 1.00–0.98 (50%)attempts 22–15goals 0–1
- Leddy – Parayko16:31
xG 0.48–0.59 (45%)attempts 18–16goals 0–1
- Scandella – Perunovich8:24
xG 0.45–0.67 (40%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestFoligno – Dickinson – Anderson9:32
xG 0.59–0.24 (72%)attempts 11–10goals 1–0
- Johnson – Raddysh – Guttman8:31
xG 0.91–0.71 (56%)attempts 13–16goals 0–0
- Entwistle – Johnson – Reichel7:25
xG 0.25–0.25 (50%)attempts 5–11goals 1–0
- Beauvillier – Kurashev – Bedard9:40
xG 0.47–0.49 (49%)attempts 7–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMurphy – Zaitsev12:44
xG 0.93–0.76 (55%)attempts 12–22goals 1–0
- Jones – Vlasic3:00
xG 0.24–0.10 (71%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Zaitsev – Vlasic2:12
xG 0.11–0.13 (45%)attempts 3–3goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it STL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 52% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − STL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).