Sun, Dec 10, 2023·Madison Square Garden, New York
Los Angeles Kings 1, New York Rangers 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 76% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 09 | 02 | 115 | 126 |
| NYR | 05 | 211 | 211 | 427 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 8:27NYRMika ZibanejadPPAssists: Vincent Trocheck, Artemi Panarin · Slap, 0.11 xG0–1
- P2 17:27NYRJimmy VeseyGWGAssists: Nick Bonino · Backhand, 0.08 xG0–2
- P3 6:37LAKPhillip DanaultPPAssists: Adrian Kempe, Anze Kopitar · Tip-in, 0.09 xG1–2
- P3 11:32NYRJonny BrodzinskiPPAssists: Vincent Trocheck, Adam Fox · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–3
- P3 15:24NYRWill CuylleAssists: Vincent Trocheck, Jonny Brodzinski · Wrist, 0.27 xG1–4
Penalties (16)
- P1 7:40NYRArtemi Panarin: High sticking2 min
- P1 19:37LAKTrevor Moore: High sticking2 min
- P2 7:51LAKDrew Doughty: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 14:24LAKAdrian Kempe: Slashing2 min
- P2 18:49LAKMikey Anderson: Holding2 min
- P3 2:47NYRAdam Fox: Tripping2 min
- P3 4:42LAKPierre-Luc Dubois: Interference2 min
- P3 4:42NYRRyan Lindgren: Embellishment2 min · PPG
- P3 5:26NYRVincent Trocheck: Interference2 min
- P3 5:26NYRMika Zibanejad: Misconduct10 min
- P3 5:42NYRJonathan Quick: Roughing2 min
- P3 5:42LAKQuinton Byfield: Slashing2 min
- P3 5:42LAKKevin Fiala: Misconduct10 min
- P3 9:57LAKAdrian Kempe: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P3 9:57NYRAlexis Lafrenière: Roughing2 min
- P3 9:57LAKAdrian Kempe: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Goodrow
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestGrundstrom – Dubois – Laferriere6:28
xG 0.60–0.33 (65%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Danault – Fiala – Moore6:32
xG 0.14–0.05 (75%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Byfield9:59
xG 0.31–0.22 (59%)attempts 9–12goals 0–1
- Fiala – Dubois – Moore2:17
xG 0.04–0.06 (39%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEnglund – Spence6:00
xG 0.41–0.13 (76%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Doughty – Spence2:02
xG 0.04–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Anderson – Spence2:57
xG 0.03–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestTrocheck – Panarin – Lafrenière11:24
xG 0.62–0.28 (69%)attempts 11–5goals 0–0
- Pitlick – Goodrow – Vesey8:43
xG 0.17–0.10 (64%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Bonino – Brodzinski – Cuylle7:06
xG 0.14–0.27 (34%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Wheeler – Kreider – Zibanejad7:49
xG 0.15–0.37 (29%)attempts 5–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGustafsson – Schneider12:01
xG 1.02–0.55 (65%)attempts 10–12goals 1–0
- Trouba – Miller15:10
xG 0.22–0.36 (39%)attempts 14–10goals 1–0
- Fox – Lindgren14:17
xG 0.21–0.52 (29%)attempts 6–13goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 76% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).