Thu, Dec 14, 2023·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Chicago Blackhawks 1, Seattle Kraken 7
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 83% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 05 | 18 | 09 | 122 |
| SEA | 27 | 312 | 210 | 729 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:07SEAKailer YamamotoAssists: Will Borgen · Wrist, 0.06 xG0–1
- P1 17:47SEAKailer YamamotoGWGAssists: Vince Dunn, Adam Larsson · Wrist, 0.18 xG0–2
- P2 3:03CHITaylor RaddyshAssists: Anthony Beauvillier · Snap, 0.09 xG1–2
- P2 4:22SEAOliver BjorkstrandAssists: Ryker Evans · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–3
- P2 14:43SEATye KartyeAssists: Will Borgen, Brandon Tanev · Tip-in, 0.20 xG1–4
- P2 17:09SEAEeli TolvanenAssists: Yanni Gourde, Oliver Bjorkstrand · Wrist, 0.11 xG1–5
- P3 3:07SEAJared McCannPPAssists: Ryker Evans, Oliver Bjorkstrand · Slap, 0.07 xG1–6
- P3 3:28SEAPierre-Edouard BellemareAssists: Devin Shore, Brian Dumoulin · Wrist, 0.11 xG1–7
Penalties (3)
- P3 1:40CHIConnor Murphy: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 7:25CHITyler Johnson: Cross checking2 min
- P3 11:15SEAYanni Gourde: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Gourde won the faceoff against Dickinson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestDonato – Kurashev – Bedard6:32
xG 0.30–0.21 (59%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Johnson – Reichel – Bedard4:23
xG 0.15–0.10 (61%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Guttman – Johnson – Reichel3:34
xG 0.02–0.09 (18%)attempts 1–3goals 0–1
- Beauvillier – Raddysh – Kurashev2:37
xG 0.00–0.16 (0%)attempts 0–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMurphy – Vlasic2:08
xG 0.18–0.11 (62%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Murphy – Phillips13:56
xG 0.37–0.35 (51%)attempts 5–14goals 0–0
- Murphy – Roos2:28
xG 0.00–0.11 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–1
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestShore – Bellemare – Yamamoto9:52
xG 0.86–0.13 (86%)attempts 15–5goals 2–1
- Wennberg – Tanev – Kartye10:59
xG 0.62–0.11 (85%)attempts 13–11goals 1–0
- Eberle – McCann – Beniers12:28
xG 0.58–0.38 (61%)attempts 11–8goals 0–0
- Gourde – Bjorkstrand – Tolvanen10:54
xG 0.49–0.31 (61%)attempts 12–8goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestDumoulin – Evans17:14
xG 1.01–0.36 (74%)attempts 21–11goals 3–0
- Larsson – Dunn18:10
xG 1.04–0.43 (71%)attempts 25–9goals 1–0
- Oleksiak – Borgen13:27
xG 0.51–0.31 (62%)attempts 10–14goals 2–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SEA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SEA is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 83% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SEA − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).