Sat, Dec 16, 2023·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
Vancouver Canucks 1, Minnesota Wild 2 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 50% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 09 | 113 | 012 | 02 | 0 | 136 |
| MIN | 113 | 010 | 08 | 00 | 1 | 231 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 18:05MINFrederick GaudreauAssists: Marcus Foligno, Patrick Maroon · Tip-in, 0.10 xG0–1
- P2 3:50VANTeddy BluegerAssists: Dakota Joshua, Conor Garland · Tip-in, 0.09 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. MIN Mats Zuccarello scored
- 2. VAN Andrei Kuzmenko stopped
- 3. MIN Matt Boldy stopped
- 4. VAN J.T. Miller stopped
- 5. MIN Kirill Kaprizov stopped
- 6. VAN Elias Pettersson stopped
Penalties (7)
- P1 12:50VANQuinn Hughes: Slashing2 min
- P1 19:25MINMats Zuccarello: Hooking2 min
- P2 9:59MINJoel Eriksson Ek: Holding the stick2 min
- P2 12:09VANFilip Hronek: Slashing2 min
- P2 15:50MINMatt Boldy: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 19:24MINZach Bogosian: Interference2 min
- P3 8:04MINMarco Rossi: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Pettersson won the faceoff against Eriksson Ek
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestLafferty – Pettersson – Mikheyev11:12
xG 0.78–0.30 (72%)attempts 14–11goals 0–0
- Miller – Di Giuseppe – Boeser3:10
xG 0.04–0.09 (30%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Blueger – Joshua – Garland10:22
xG 0.23–0.28 (45%)attempts 6–8goals 1–0
- Di Giuseppe – Suter – Kuzmenko2:45
xG 0.05–0.19 (22%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHronek – Hughes13:36
xG 0.52–0.45 (54%)attempts 13–10goals 0–1
- Cole – Juulsen8:09
xG 0.23–0.21 (53%)attempts 7–7goals 1–0
- Cole – Hronek3:19
xG 0.02–0.20 (8%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestEriksson Ek – Kaprizov – Boldy10:42
xG 0.80–0.15 (84%)attempts 13–9goals 0–0
- Hartman – Duhaime – Dewar4:06
xG 0.17–0.09 (66%)attempts 4–4goals 0–1
- Johansson – Zuccarello – Rossi10:22
xG 0.43–0.43 (50%)attempts 10–8goals 0–0
- Maroon – Foligno – Gaudreau7:57
xG 0.20–0.20 (50%)attempts 6–4goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestGoligoski – Bogosian13:31
xG 0.69–0.20 (78%)attempts 12–10goals 0–0
- Merrill – Hunt8:22
xG 0.56–0.13 (81%)attempts 9–7goals 0–1
- Bogosian – Hunt2:05
xG 0.00–0.02 (13%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MIN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MIN is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 50% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MIN − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).