Sat, Dec 16, 2023·TD Garden, Boston
New York Rangers 2, Boston Bruins 1 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 68% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 08 | 011 | 114 | 11 | 234 |
| BOS | 05 | 110 | 07 | 00 | 122 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 2:07BOSTrent FredericAssists: James van Riemsdyk, Matthew Poitras · Wrist, 0.20 xG0–1
- P3 10:50NYRVincent TrocheckPPAssists: Mika Zibanejad, Adam Fox · Wrist, 0.12 xG1–1
- OT 2:03NYRVincent TrocheckGWGAssists: Artemi Panarin, Erik Gustafsson · Snap, 0.21 xG2–1
Penalties (14)
- P1 16:14BOSMatt Grzelcyk: Tripping2 min
- P1 19:19NYRK'Andre Miller: Tripping2 min
- P2 2:07NYRWill Cuylle: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
- P2 10:20BOSDavid Pastrnak: High sticking2 min
- P2 10:37NYRChris Kreider: Holding the stick2 min
- P2 11:05BOSTrent Frederic: Fighting5 min
- P2 11:05NYRJacob Trouba: Fighting5 min
- P2 12:58BOSDanton Heinen: Slashing2 min
- P2 18:10BOSDavid Pastrnak: Boarding5 min
- P2 18:10NYRArtemi Panarin: Roughing2 min
- P2 18:10BOSDavid Pastrnak: Game misconduct10 min
- P3 5:42NYRAdam Fox: Tripping2 min
- P3 10:37BOSBrandon Carlo: Interference2 min · PPG
- P3 12:47BOSHampus Lindholm: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Beecher won the faceoff against Goodrow
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestTrocheck – Panarin – Lafrenière9:38
xG 0.82–0.56 (60%)attempts 15–9goals 0–1
- Pitlick – Goodrow – Vesey7:17
xG 0.30–0.19 (62%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
- Wheeler – Kreider – Zibanejad7:35
xG 0.15–0.23 (39%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
- Bonino – Brodzinski – Cuylle4:47
xG 0.05–0.17 (22%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestFox – Lindgren11:50
xG 0.78–0.47 (62%)attempts 15–9goals 0–0
- Trouba – Miller12:26
xG 0.59–0.38 (60%)attempts 12–17goals 0–0
- Gustafsson – Schneider7:08
xG 0.16–0.33 (32%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestHeinen – Steen – Geekie2:06
xG 0.33–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
- Marchand – Coyle – DeBrusk7:41
xG 0.44–0.19 (69%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
- van Riemsdyk – Frederic – Poitras8:31
xG 0.38–0.27 (58%)attempts 6–6goals 1–0
- Pastrnak – Heinen – Geekie6:03
xG 0.21–0.41 (34%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLindholm – Wotherspoon11:25
xG 0.94–0.21 (82%)attempts 19–4goals 0–0
- Shattenkirk – Lohrei8:47
xG 0.25–0.22 (53%)attempts 11–6goals 0–0
- Grzelcyk – Carlo13:13
xG 0.46–0.88 (35%)attempts 9–19goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 68% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).