Sat, Dec 16, 2023·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Los Angeles Kings 3, Seattle Kraken 2 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 71% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 114 | 115 | 06 | 03 | 4 | 338 |
| SEA | 13 | 06 | 19 | 01 | 3 | 219 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:45SEAAdam LarssonAssists: Devin Shore, Vince Dunn · Wrist, 0.07 xG0–1
- P1 13:32LAKTrevor MooreAssists: Phillip Danault, Kevin Fiala · Backhand, 0.11 xG1–1
- P2 17:16LAKAnze KopitarPPAssists: Quinton Byfield, Adrian Kempe · Wrist, 0.20 xG2–1
- P3 17:31SEAOliver BjorkstrandPPAssists: Ryker Evans, Jared McCann · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. SEA Oliver Bjorkstrand stopped
- 2. LAK Trevor Moore stopped
- 3. SEA Tomas Tatar stopped
- 4. LAK Pierre-Luc Dubois stopped
- 5. SEA Kailer Yamamoto scored
- 6. LAK Adrian Kempe scored
- 7. SEA Alexander Wennberg stopped
- 8. LAK Anze Kopitar stopped
- 9. SEA Devin Shore stopped
- 10. SEA Jared McCann stopped
- 11. LAK Quinton Byfield stopped
- 12. SEA Yanni Gourde scored
- 13. LAK Arthur Kaliyev scored
- 14. SEA Matty Beniers scored
- 15. LAK Trevor Lewis scored
- 16. SEA Eeli Tolvanen stopped
- 17. LAK Carl Grundstrom scored
Penalties (6)
- P1 16:45SEAPierre-Edouard Bellemare: Tripping2 min
- P2 7:21SEARyker Evans: Interference2 min
- P2 9:27LAKJordan Spence: Tripping2 min
- P2 16:13SEAWill Borgen: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P3 16:20LAKMikey Anderson: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- OT 2:00SEAVince Dunn: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Gourde won the faceoff against Danault
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against. Shift data for this game is incomplete, so treat these as rough.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestDanault – Fiala – Moore12:02
xG 0.74–0.13 (85%)attempts 17–6goals 1–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Byfield10:27
xG 0.58–0.19 (76%)attempts 17–4goals 0–0
- Dubois – Kaliyev – Laferriere11:50
xG 0.30–0.18 (62%)attempts 12–7goals 0–0
- Lewis – Grundstrom – Lizotte8:48
xG 0.43–0.44 (50%)attempts 11–11goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Anderson19:22
xG 0.76–0.44 (63%)attempts 21–13goals 1–0
- Englund – Spence13:48
xG 0.80–0.56 (59%)attempts 20–13goals 0–1
- Roy – Moverare13:11
xG 0.28–0.23 (55%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestShore – Bellemare – Yamamoto7:50
xG 0.42–0.17 (71%)attempts 10–8goals 1–0
- Tatar – McCann – Beniers8:29
xG 0.18–0.27 (39%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
- Wennberg – Tanev – Kartye8:41
xG 0.23–0.42 (36%)attempts 6–14goals 0–0
- Gourde – Bjorkstrand – Tolvanen11:43
xG 0.15–0.76 (16%)attempts 6–19goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestDumoulin – Evans13:32
xG 0.34–0.27 (56%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
- Larsson – Dunn17:26
xG 0.42–0.78 (35%)attempts 15–20goals 1–0
- Oleksiak – Borgen14:34
xG 0.16–0.96 (14%)attempts 5–27goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SEA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SEA is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 71% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SEA − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).