Tue, Dec 19, 2023·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Los Angeles Kings 4, San Jose Sharks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 84% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 112 | 211 | 116 | 439 |
| SJS | 05 | 04 | 17 | 116 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 17:48LAKAnze KopitarPPAssists: Arthur Kaliyev, Kevin Fiala · Wrist, 0.10 xG1–0
- P2 4:07LAKTrevor MooreGWGAssists: Kevin Fiala, Phillip Danault · Wrist, 0.03 xG2–0
- P2 5:17LAKAlex LaferriereAssists: Jordan Spence, Anze Kopitar · Tip-in, 0.10 xG3–0
- P3 18:12LAKTrevor LewisENAssists: Blake Lizotte · Wrist, 0.46 xG4–0
- P3 18:41SJSJacob MacDonaldPPAssists: Kevin Labanc, Filip Zadina · Slap, 0.04 xG4–1
Penalties (5)
- P1 16:33SJSKyle Burroughs: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 9:38LAKArthur Kaliyev: Interference2 min
- P2 12:56LAKPhillip Danault: Slashing2 min
- P3 12:48SJSLuke Kunin: High sticking2 min
- P3 17:13LAKDrew Doughty: Tripping2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Granlund won the faceoff against Danault
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestDubois – Kaliyev – Laferriere12:35
xG 1.13–0.49 (70%)attempts 16–11goals 0–0
- Danault – Fiala – Moore13:17
xG 0.86–0.34 (72%)attempts 14–7goals 1–0
- Lewis – Grundstrom – Lizotte8:15
xG 0.52–0.11 (83%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Byfield9:41
xG 0.40–0.05 (90%)attempts 17–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestRoy – Moverare13:46
xG 1.62–0.15 (92%)attempts 22–8goals 0–0
- Doughty – Anderson19:29
xG 0.75–0.31 (71%)attempts 24–9goals 1–0
- Englund – Spence12:32
xG 0.52–0.35 (60%)attempts 10–11goals 0–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- Hertl – Barabanov – Eklund8:50
xG 0.30–0.26 (53%)attempts 3–11goals 0–0
- Hoffman – Kunin – Barabanov2:11
xG 0.02–0.13 (13%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Hoffman – Bailey – Kunin7:11
xG 0.14–0.39 (26%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
- Labanc – Studnicka – Zadina5:56
xG 0.08–0.34 (18%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Okhotiuk – Thrun14:04
xG 0.06–0.42 (12%)attempts 5–12goals 0–0
- Vlasic – MacDonald10:46
xG 0.11–0.92 (10%)attempts 8–16goals 0–0
- Burroughs – Ferraro17:11
xG 0.56–1.42 (28%)attempts 10–22goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 84% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).