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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 23, 2023·PNC Arena, Raleigh

New York Islanders 5, Carolina Hurricanes 4

Away

New York Islanders

5

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 81% of the time.

CAR winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:33Shot by Lee, saved by Kochetkov
  3. P1 1:36Shot by Bolduc, saved by Kochetkov
  4. P1 1:55Shot by Burns, saved by Sorokin
  5. P1 2:04Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Sorokin
  6. P1 2:41Necas: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CAR Orlov, Teravainen, Aho, Chatfield, Jarvis · NYI Pageau, Reilly, Horvat, Barzal, Aho, Holmstrom

  7. P1 5:33Shot by Dobson, saved by Kochetkov
  8. P1 7:51Shot by Necas, saved by Sorokin
  9. P1 7:52Shot by Necas, saved by Sorokin
  10. P1 7:53Bortuzzo: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Skjei, Slavin, Necas, Kotkaniemi, Svechnikov · NYI Bortuzzo, Palmieri, Nelson, Engvall, Bolduc

  11. P1 9:40Shot by Skjei, saved by Sorokin5v4
  12. P1 10:03Shot by Skjei, saved by Sorokin
  13. P1 10:06Shot by Skjei, saved by Sorokin
  14. P1 11:15Shot by Nelson, saved by Kochetkov
  15. P1 11:16Shot by Palmieri, saved by Kochetkov
  16. P1 11:19Goal by Aho (Palmieri, Nelson)+16 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Burns, Slavin, Necas, Kotkaniemi, Svechnikov · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Reilly, Engvall, Aho

  17. P1 12:20Shot by Jarvis, saved by Sorokin
  18. P1 12:22Goal by Teravainen (Jarvis, Orlov)+16 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Orlov, Teravainen, Aho, Chatfield, Jarvis · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Engvall, Dobson, Romanov

  19. P1 13:22Shot by Bolduc, saved by Kochetkov
  20. P1 14:33Shot by Cizikas, saved by Kochetkov
  21. P1 14:37Shot by Reilly, saved by Kochetkov
  22. P1 14:43Goal by Nelson (Reilly, Palmieri)+17 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Skjei, Pesce, Necas, Svechnikov, Drury · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Reilly, Engvall, Aho

  23. P1 14:56Shot by Teravainen, saved by Sorokin
  24. P1 15:01Shot by Slavin, saved by Sorokin
  25. P1 15:06Shot by Burns, saved by Sorokin
  26. P1 17:08Shot by Necas, saved by Sorokin
  27. P1 18:25Goal by Horvat (Barzal, Lee)+15 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Burns, Teravainen, Slavin, Aho, Jarvis · NYI Lee, Horvat, Barzal, Aho, Bolduc

  28. P1 19:00Shot by Engvall, saved by Kochetkov
  29. P1 19:18Shot by Staal, saved by Sorokin
  30. P1 19:56Shot by Orlov, saved by Sorokin
  31. P1 0:00Period end
  32. P2 0:00Period start
  33. P2 0:47Shot by Chatfield, saved by Sorokin
  34. P2 0:50Reilly: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Orlov, Noesen, Bunting, Chatfield, Drury · NYI Clutterbuck, Cizikas, Reilly, Fasching, Aho

  35. P2 0:59Goal by Aho (Bunting, Svechnikov)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Burns, Bunting, Aho, Svechnikov, Jarvis · NYI Bortuzzo, Pageau, Romanov, Holmstrom

  36. P2 1:14Shot by Slavin, saved by Sorokin
  37. P2 1:55Shot by Romanov, saved by Kochetkov
  38. P2 2:26Engvall: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Skjei, Pesce, Necas, Kotkaniemi, Svechnikov · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Engvall, Dobson, Romanov

  39. P2 2:30Jarvis: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CAR Burns, Bunting, Aho, Svechnikov, Jarvis · NYI Clutterbuck, Bortuzzo, Cizikas, Romanov

  40. P2 4:51Shot by Nelson, saved by Kochetkov
  41. P2 6:29Shot by Kotkaniemi, saved by Sorokin
  42. P2 7:25Shot by Drury, saved by Sorokin
  43. P2 7:53Shot by Chatfield, saved by Sorokin
  44. P2 8:02Shot by Drury, saved by Sorokin
  45. P2 10:15Shot by Slavin, saved by Sorokin
  46. P2 12:58Shot by Palmieri, saved by Kochetkov
  47. P2 13:01Shot by Nelson, saved by Kochetkov
  48. P2 13:09Shot by Dobson, saved by Kochetkov
  49. P2 14:12Goal by Reilly (Barzal, Lee)+17 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Burns, Staal, Fast, Martinook, Slavin · NYI Lee, Reilly, Horvat, Barzal, Aho

  50. P2 14:25Shot by Chatfield, saved by Sorokin
  51. P2 19:33Shot by Burns, saved by Sorokin
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 0:24Shot by Bunting, saved by Sorokin
  55. P3 0:49Shot by Bortuzzo, saved by Kochetkov
  56. P3 1:05Shot by Pesce, saved by Sorokin
  57. P3 1:19Shot by Skjei, saved by Sorokin
  58. P3 1:43Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Kochetkov
  59. P3 1:56Goal by Slavin (Necas, Svechnikov)+16 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Burns, Slavin, Necas, Kotkaniemi, Svechnikov · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Engvall, Dobson, Romanov

  60. P3 2:19Shot by Pesce, saved by Sorokin
  61. P3 2:36Shot by Jarvis, saved by Sorokin
  62. P3 3:12Shot by Jarvis, saved by Sorokin
  63. P3 3:44Goal by Lee (Dobson, Horvat)+17 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Burns, Staal, Fast, Martinook, Slavin · NYI Lee, Horvat, Barzal, Dobson, Romanov

  64. P3 4:31Shot by Aho, saved by Kochetkov
  65. P3 4:33Shot by Barzal, saved by Kochetkov
  66. P3 7:48Lee: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Skjei, Pesce, Necas, Kotkaniemi, Svechnikov · NYI Lee, Reilly, Horvat, Barzal, Aho

  67. P3 8:28Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Sorokin5v4
  68. P3 9:17Goal by Noesen (Necas, Skjei)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Noesen, Skjei, Teravainen, Necas, Drury · NYI Clutterbuck, Cizikas, Dobson, Romanov

  69. P3 9:34Staal: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Burns, Staal, Fast, Martinook, Slavin · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Reilly, Barzal, Aho

  70. P3 10:54Shot by Reilly, saved by Kochetkov4v5
  71. P3 12:04Shot by Kotkaniemi, saved by Sorokin
  72. P3 12:28Shot by Bunting, saved by Sorokin
  73. P3 13:45Shot by Necas, saved by Sorokin
  74. P3 14:39Shot by Barzal, saved by Kochetkov
  75. P3 15:21Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Sorokin
  76. P3 15:58Shot by Pageau, saved by Kochetkov
  77. P3 16:45Shot by Engvall, saved by Kochetkov
  78. P3 17:47Shot by Barzal, saved by Kochetkov
  79. P3 19:01Shot by Burns, saved by Sorokin6v5
  80. P3 19:51Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Sorokin6v5
  81. P3 0:00Bortuzzo: Roughing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CAR Burns, Staal, Noesen, Skjei, Aho, Svechnikov · NYI Clutterbuck, Bortuzzo, Palmieri, Pageau, Horvat, Dobson

  82. P3 0:00Noesen: Roughing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CAR Burns, Staal, Noesen, Skjei, Aho, Svechnikov · NYI Clutterbuck, Bortuzzo, Palmieri, Pageau, Horvat, Dobson

  83. P3 0:00Period end5v4
  84. P3 0:00Final5v4