Wed, Dec 27, 2023·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
San Jose Sharks 1, Los Angeles Kings 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 88% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 18 | 011 | 06 | 125 |
| LAK | 06 | 317 | 220 | 543 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 11:02SJSFabian ZetterlundUnassisted · Snap, 0.15 xG1–0
- P2 2:57LAKKevin FialaAssists: Jordan Spence · Wrist, 0.19 xG1–1
- P2 3:10LAKTrevor LewisGWGUnassisted · Backhand, 0.18 xG1–2
- P2 12:26LAKPierre-Luc DuboisAssists: Arthur Kaliyev, Alex Laferriere · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–3
- P3 3:36LAKAdrian KempeAssists: Matt Roy, Carl Grundstrom · Tip-in, 0.06 xG1–4
- P3 15:42LAKAdrian KempeAssists: Mikey Anderson, Drew Doughty · Wrist, 0.17 xG1–5
Penalties (8)
- P1 18:23LAKBlake Lizotte: Holding2 min
- P2 8:26LAKDrew Doughty: Hooking2 min
- P2 8:50SJSMikael Granlund: Holding2 min
- P3 5:29LAKAlex Laferriere: Roughing2 min
- P3 5:29LAKAlex Laferriere: Fighting5 min
- P3 5:29SJSLuke Kunin: Fighting5 min
- P3 8:11SJSKevin Labanc: Tripping2 min
- P3 12:07SJSLuke Kunin: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Hertl
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestHertl – Zadina – Eklund11:41
xG 1.09–0.69 (61%)attempts 18–15goals 0–0
- Granlund – Duclair – Zetterlund8:51
xG 0.49–0.36 (58%)attempts 11–6goals 1–0
- Hoffman – Bailey – Kunin2:14
xG 0.01–0.03 (20%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Bailey – Labanc – Studnicka6:02
xG 0.15–0.29 (34%)attempts 5–8goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestBurroughs – Ferraro15:19
xG 1.22–1.08 (53%)attempts 22–18goals 0–2
- Rutta – Okhotiuk11:21
xG 0.26–0.61 (29%)attempts 8–11goals 1–1
- Addison – Okhotiuk2:10
xG 0.01–0.53 (1%)attempts 1–7goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestDanault – Fiala – Moore9:32
xG 1.07–0.24 (82%)attempts 14–11goals 1–1
- Dubois – Kaliyev – Laferriere10:55
xG 0.97–0.22 (81%)attempts 20–8goals 1–0
- Lewis – Grundstrom – Lizotte10:31
xG 0.75–0.22 (77%)attempts 14–9goals 1–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Byfield8:43
xG 0.41–1.01 (29%)attempts 9–15goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestEnglund – Spence13:07
xG 1.16–0.32 (79%)attempts 19–10goals 1–0
- Gavrikov – Roy15:30
xG 1.35–0.76 (64%)attempts 20–25goals 3–0
- Doughty – Anderson17:03
xG 0.47–0.89 (34%)attempts 14–15goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 88% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).